 |
| Joe Mauer is the only C
currently going for more than $20 at $24.36 |
Dollar Value for Auction
Contributed By: Ray Flowers
Much like my companion piece
on Average Draft Position, the current piece will revolve
around analyzing how players are being valued in the 2007 draft season, except
this time I will be looking at dollar values instead of the rounds that players
are being chosen.
Below, I will take a look at
some Average Auction Values (AAV), for players being selected in a
12-team, mixed, 5x5 scenario with $260 dollars to spend. What is AAV?
Simply put, AAV is the average dollar amount that a player is being
purchased for in the scenario I just painted. Simple as that.
In what follows I will break
down some of the highs and lows at each position. Which position is being under
or overvalued? What about individual players? Take a read at what follows to
find out a few interesting tidbits on players at each position.
Note: The values listed
are courtesy of FantasyAuctioneer.com.
CATCHER
Joe Mauer is the only C
currently going for more than $20 at $24.36. The question is; no matter how
valuable Mauer’s bat is, especially considering he is a catcher, is he really
worth more jack than Vernon Wells or Jason Bay just to name a couple of guys?
Not in my mind, especially when you see how fragile a catchers health can be
(Mauer is already dealing with a leg injury).
After Mauer there is a bit
of a fall off in cost before everyone just plunges off the cliff.
|
PLAYER
|
TEAM
|
AAV in $
|
|
Victor Martinez
|
CLE
|
19.80
|
|
Brian McCann
|
ATL
|
16.84
|
|
Ivan Rodriguez
|
DET
|
10.71
|
That’s it. Those are the
four C currently going for double digits. There is then a third tier of
catchers going for above $5.
|
PLAYER
|
TEAM
|
AAV in $
|
|
Jorge Posada
|
NYY
|
8.68
|
|
Paul Lo Duca
|
NYM
|
8.14
|
|
Michael Barrett
|
CHC
|
8.14
|
|
Kenji Johjima
|
SEA
|
7.72
|
|
Mike Piazza
|
OAK
|
7.05
|
|
Ra.Hernandez
|
BAL
|
6.70
|
|
Russell Martin
|
LAD
|
6.02
|
|
A.J. Pierzynski
|
CHW
|
5.06
|
Bottom Line: Unless you
want to blow your budget on one catcher, why not pick up two solid options
instead of one possible stud and a scrub? If you grab Mauer and Greg Zahn for
$26, will they out produce Jorge Posada and Michael Barrett? I doubt they will
in anything but possibly average, and even so, I could stand to lose .020
batting average points to beat the Mauer and Zahn combo in HR, RBI and Runs
while saving about $10.
 |
| Albert Pujols is
the unquestioned #1 overall pick this year at $47.93 |
FIRST BASE / DH
Everyone knows they can
fatten up their numbers at 1B, an on draft day you will have to pay a pretty
penny to acquire those numbers (especially if your league counts David Ortiz
and Travis Hafner as first basemen).
Albert Pujols appears to be
the unquestioned #1 overall pick this year as his cost is a huge $47.93. The #2
guy at 1B is a full $10 less as you will have to spend “only” $37.89 for Ryan
Howard. David Ortiz closes the $30+ club at the position with a cost of $34.57.
Here is the second tier of 1B who are going in the $20 region.
|
PLAYER
|
TEAM
|
AAV in $
|
|
Lance Berkman
|
HOU
|
29.04
|
|
Travis Hafner
|
CLE
|
28.43
|
|
Mark Teixeira
|
TEX
|
28.07
|
|
Derrek Lee
|
CHC
|
25.56
|
|
Paul Konerko
|
CHW
|
21.82
|
|
Justin Morneau
|
MIN
|
21.03
|
The next guy on the list is
Jim Thome ($16.92) who must be falling because he only qualifies at DH because Thome has hit at least 30 HRs in 10 of the last 11 seasons
and has put up 100 RBIs in 7 of the past 8 seasons. Curiously, only one other 1B is going for more than
$11 and that is Carlos Delgado at $16.51. There is then a mini logjam at the
$10 mark.
|
PLAYER
|
TEAM
|
AAV in $
|
|
Prince Fielder
|
MIL
|
10.91
|
|
Todd Helton
|
COL
|
10.77
|
|
Jason Giambi
|
NYY
|
10.46
|
|
N. Garciaparra
|
LAD
|
10.41
|
|
Lyle Overbay
|
TOR
|
10.28
|
Bottom Line: You can find
average and power at 1B, but you will have to pay for it if you want one of the
top guys. While grabbing one of the big boppers is advisable, you might be able
to grab a UT or CI from 1B at a fairly solid price. Don’t forget to look Todd
Helton’s way as there is a decent chance that he will produce enough this year
to earn you about $20 worth of value. You can also find a couple of 30+ HR
hitters for less than $9 in Adam LaRoche ($8.15) and Richie Sexson ($6.72), so
keep an eye on the 1B spot as your draft hits the midway point, there could be
some value there.
SECOND BASE
At no position, not SP with Johan Santana or 1B with Albert Pujols, is there
such a pinnacle reached by a positions top player. Chase Utley ($34.75)
currently is going for more than double the next highest 2B (Brian
Roberts at $16.40). Only one other 2B is in double digits, and that is Dan
Uggla at $10.14. After that, the second basemen are really closely grouped.
|
PLAYER
|
TEAM
|
AAV in $
|
|
Ray Durham
|
SFG
|
9.28
|
|
Rickie Weeks
|
MIL
|
8.59
|
|
Tadahito Iguchi
|
CHW
|
7.95
|
|
Brandon Phillips
|
CIN
|
7.15
|
|
Ian Kinsler
|
TEX
|
6.56
|
|
Howie Kendrick
|
ANA
|
6.12
|
|
Jeff Kent
|
LAD
|
5.35
|
|
Luis Castillo
|
MIN
|
5.25
|
|
Josh Barfield
|
CLE
|
4.67
|
One other player deserves
mention here. Marcus Giles is going for $3.14 currently, and while he certainly
fell off last season, can you answer me this question: how many 2B scored 85 or
more runs last season with 60 or more RBIs and 10 or more SBs? The answer is
three. Chase Utley, Tad Iguchi and…Marcus Giles.
Bottom Line: Now Utley is a great player, but with a $260
budget you simply have to be careful when allocating your funds. If you have
Utley at $35 and fill your MI position with Luis Castillo for $5, will you end
up with better numbers than a Brian Roberts and Robinson Cano duo (listed 3rd
at $15.71)? Don’t forget, you would also have $8 left over as well in this
scenario.