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AL Burners and Turners -- March 30, 2007
AL Burners and Turners -- March 30, 2007
By David Snyder | Published  03/30/2007 |
David Snyder
SG's David Snyder suffers from acute homeritis, rooting for teams based on the their geographical proximity to South Florida. He is a sports columnist for News Blaze and his blog can be found at bigdaveonsports.com.   David welcomes questions or criticisms, contact him at daves@sportsgrumblings.com

 

View all articles by David Snyder
How to utilize adaptation and luck

 
Nick Swisher showed off his home run trot 35 times last season, and he has even more room to grow.

Editor's Note: While spring training stats don't necessarily correlate with regular season numbers and should never be used as the only reason to endorse a player, they can be viewed as small encouraging or discouraging signs among a whole myriad of other factors in player evaluation going into the season.

Every winning fantasy team owner has two similar characteristics. The first is adaptation.

The nature of fantasy sports forces adaptation. Players become injured or benched. Players experience slumps and setbacks. It is the winning fantasy owner that knows how to turn the dilemmas into season bolstering moves.

The other trait is pure luck.

High quality team owners will only ride the crest of luck so high. They harness it and use it to make moves most would not.Experts call this the gut check - the feeling that has you start a third tier outfielder because you think he will hit well against a struggling lefty.

One aspect of fantasy baseball that incorporates both of these traits is in-season trading.To capitalize on trading you must be able to spot players of differing value. Once you have found these players you must use your instincts to move them either on or off your roster, keeping your team value as high as possible.

Burners are players burning up the player ratings. They are on the cusp of being on the radar. These players represent value over cost and are the type of players you want to add to your roster. Turners are the opposite. These players represent cost over value.They must be turned over in order to salvage roster value and sometimes your season.

Burners

This week we take a look at two mid-round choices that could give your squad early round numbers.

Nick Swisher, OF/1B, Oakland: This fourth year player with the Oakland A's has been on fire.In spring he had a .679 slugging percentage and .426 on base percentage.He hit .304 with 5 HR and 16 RBI.The best thing about Swisher is his dual eligibility. He is set to start the season for Oakland in right field, but he is also available at first base for most fantasy owners. His career numbers are solid, and he hit .259 with 35 HR in 2006. He is a versatile fantasy hitter that is carrying a small price tag.

Ian Kinsler 2B, Texas: He could be a poor man's Chase Utley. He was injured for the beginning of last season, but after returning in June he drove in 11 HR, 49 RBI, and stole 11 bases in that month alone.He is easily a bargain buy at a shallow position in the AL.He hit .426 in spring knocking out 4 HR and 17 RBI.His slugging percentage was a strong .685.

Turners

Here we look at a big price tag investment and a used car salesman's trick.

Richie Sexson, 1B, Seattle: This pick in the turners section is more of a warning to those new to fantasy baseball.Owners that have been around a while know Sexson is a mid-season bloomer. For newcomers that may have drafted the first baseman, it might be a good idea to evaluate your team and see if you can survive with a player that struggles through half the season at his position.For his career, Sexson hits below.250 before the All-Star break. He historically doubles his home run output after the break. Unschooled drafters with weak stomachs may try to sell Sexson now before he is undervalued in late April and May.There is surely a veteran owner in your league willing to pay for Sexson and stash him for late in the season and the playoffs.

Esteban German, 2B, Kansas City: The Royals' utility player has been scorching this spring.His spring totals include a .452 slugging percentage with a .412 on base percentage.He also has three stolen bases. He may have been drafted in deep AL-only formats since there are doubts about when Mark Grudzielanek will return.If German keeps on his pace, a savvy owner could package him in a deal in the first weeks of the season.



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