A lawyer in his spare time, Seth Frankel is a University of Michigan graduate and hopelessly obsessed Mets fan, who is a newcomer to Sports Grumblings. He's been hooked on fantasy sports since junior high school, and before that, Strat-O-Matic baseball.
My
deepest apologies to my loyal reader(s?) about last week’s unexpected absence. Sometimes
the day job gets in the way, and there is really nothing one I do about it. But,
now I am back in the saddle and energized after a dramatic Mets win in the top
of the 9th on Saturday against the Red Sox. Omir Santos off of Jonathan
Papelbon? Really? Delightfully unexpected!
Amazingly,
we have reached Memorial Day already. This is a critical juncture for fantasy
teams, as people will inevitably be frustrated with their team and start
looking forward to 2010. If you are planning on contending, however, you can
get about four months of stats in exchange for some future value, sometimes
even only a minor leaguer (I had one NL-Only league where someone traded Johan Santana for Pedro Alvarez, albeit to much uproar and protest). Now is the time
to pounce. And with that said, onto the two-start options for the week:
Justin Verlander, Detroit. At Kansas City, at
Baltimore:
Verlander
is a bit better pitcher than we often recommend in this space, but he is worth
noting this week as an absolute stud. 2008 was a bit of a lost season for
Verlander, who was expected to build on his impressive 2007, but instead
regressed to the tune of an 11-17 record, 4.84 ERA, and 1.403 WHIP. He has
turned things around back around this year, with a 4-2 record, 3.99 ERA, 1.154
WHIP, and an impressive 77 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings. What is even more
impressive is his last five starts, where he has compiled a 4-0 record, with 52
strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings, and an ERA of 1.02.
He has
not faced the Royals or Orioles this year yet, but historically (even during
his mediocre, at best, year in 2008), he absolutely dominates both of these
squads, with a 10-1 record, and 2.10 ERA in 15 starts. Although I would expect
you to be starting Verlander anyway, especially during this current run, if you
are not for some reason, you need to rethink your lineup this week.
Phil Hughes, New York Yankees. At Texas, at
Cleveland:
I won’t
lie. I loathe the Yankees. I hate them enough to the point that I do not
necessarily want the Phillies to lose to them over the weekend, despite the
fact that the Phillies losing would be good for the Mets. They really are my
second least favorite team in all of sports (as a Michigan man, Ohio State
obviously takes the cake). So seeing Hughes struggle in his major league career
thus far, especially when the Yankees reportedly could have had Johan Santana in exchange for Hughes
and others, has not caused any sad feelings from this writer. That being said,
I have to recommend Hughes this week, as a viable two-start option. He is
fighting to convince the Yankees to keep him in the majors, and faces two teams
that he actually pitched well against back in 2007 (admittedly in only one
start, the smallest of small samples). At the very least, the way the Yankees
are playing these days, he should give you a decent shot at two wins. It is a
gamble, to be sure, but I would roll the dice this week with Hughes.
Sean Marshall, Chicago. Vs. Pittsburgh, vs.
Los Angeles Dodgers.
Marshall
has been solid this year, pitching out of the fifth spot of the rotation for
the Cubbies. He gets two teams that he has not pitched against this year in the
Pirates and Dodgers. The Pirates are batting about .240 against lefties this
year, which gives you reason to like Marshall this year (of course, they only
bat a little over .250 against righties, so they are really simply a weak offense).
As for the Dodgers, their offense, unsurprisingly, has decreased since Manny Ramirez was suspended for
performance-enhancing substances. The Dodgers still have plenty of weapons, of
course, so it is not as if this is a piece of cake, but I like Marshall’s
chances this week.
Matt Garza, Tampa Bay Rays. At Cleveland, vs.
Minnesota:
Garza
is certainly making the leap this year, with a4-2 record and a 3.41 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP to start 2009. What is even
more surprising is his increase in strikeouts, with nearly a strikeout per
inning. He has started once against Cleveland this year, going six innings with
two earned runs, although he has historically struggled against Cleveland in
the past. He has never started against his former mates in Minnesota though.
With him taking a leap, and ready to fill the void that Scott Kazmir has left with both his disabled list stint (and his
rough year so far), Garza is a strong bet this week. Even moreso when you
factor in that the Rays are averaging nearly six runs a game. ‘Tis folly to
chase wins, but Garza has a great opportunity for two this week.
John Maine, New York Mets. Vs. Washington,
vs. Florida:
You did
not think I would recommend a Yankee without recommending a Met, now did you?
For some reason, Maine has been one of my favorite pitchers on the Mets,
despite the fact that he is maddeningly inconsistent. Well, I do know the
reason – it was basically due to that 2007 start against the Marlins on the
second to last day of the season, when he flirted with the first no-hitter in
Mets history, striking out double digits, in the midst of the Mets first epic
collapse. Anyway, Maine has historically been very impressive against the
Marlins, with a 4-1 record in eight starts, to go with a 2.49 ERA and 56
strikeouts in 47 innings. He has been somewhat less impressive against the
Nationals historically, but still has compiled a 6-2 record with a 4.04 ERA and
a 1.150 WHIP. Since he has begun to turn things around after a miserable start,
with three wins in his last five starts, he looks like a good bet to put up a
nice two-start week in the friendly confines of Citi Field.
And
finally this week, we continue our Arlington/Coors/Great American/Citizens Bank
watch, for the home games at the hitter-friendly stadiums where marginal
players become the next Barry Bonds
(the new Yankee Stadium’s application for admission into this prestigious group
is currently pending approval):