A lawyer in his spare time, Seth Frankel is a University of Michigan graduate and hopelessly obsessed Mets fan, who is a newcomer to Sports Grumblings. He's been hooked on fantasy sports since junior high school, and before that, Strat-O-Matic baseball.
June did not start out favorably for me. It
is never fun to watch my Mets go into Pittsburgh, play lifelessly and get swept
by the Pirates. On the plus side, the usually meek and calm Carlos Beltran (who don't get me wrong,
is an amazing player, but not exactly the most “vocal” in his leadership)
ripping the team for playing so poorly, prompting an accusation that he had no
class from Adam Laroche. With Brad Lidge blowing saves whenever he
gets the chance, the Mets need to seize that opportunity now, and I am hoping
that Beltran's angry comments light a fire under the Mets, especially with the
Phillies coming into town.And with that
said, here is a look at the two-start options for the week:
Andy
Pettitte, New York Yankees, vs. Tampa Bay, vs. New York (NL) :
At 37, Pettitte is obviously not the pitcher
that he once was, but that does not mean he is ineffective. In fact, he has
gone 5-2 this year, although with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.544 WHIP, some might argue
that much of that is due to run support. With the Yankees offense clicking on
all cylinders, even pitching mediocre will give Pettitte a decent shot at two
wins. That being said, he has had a career of success against both the Rays and
Mets (15-4, 3.78 against the Rays; 8-4, 3.47 against the Mets). He looks like a
good bet this week.
Josh Outman, Oakland Athletics, vs.
Minnesota, at San Francisco:
Acquired from the Phillies in last year's Joe Blanton deal, the 24-year-old
Outman has had an excellent start to 2009, going 3-0, with a 3.02 ERA and a
1.193 WHIP, together with 42 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings. Outside of some
struggles against the Blue Jays, he has been quite impressive this year, building
on an impressive minor league career in which he went 35-18, with a 2.99 ERA
and a 1.323 WHIP, and nearly a strikeout per inning.
Outman will get the Twins and Giants this
week. He has not faced either of these teams in his short career. The Twins
have assembled an offense that is about league average, while the Giants are
one of the worst. Even if he is on the last place A's, Outman is worth trotting
out there this week.
Jon Garland, Arizona Diamondbacks, at San
Diego, vs. Houston:
I confess – I feel a little strange
recommending a pitcher who is 4-5, with a 5.34 ERA and a 1.636 WHIP. This
off-season, many Mets fans (at least that I heard) were suggesting Garland as a
legitimate option, and for all the Mets issues this year; I am delighted that
Garland is not one of them. In my book, he is the definition of mediocrity.
Still, his numbers this year are slightly skewed by three starts in particular
where he was absolutely dreadful. Of course, that is about 25% of his starts,
so you can't simply throw them out, and must acknowledge that is one of the
risks with starting a guy like Garland.
He has not faced the Astros this year, but
shutout the Padres over seven innings about a month ago, collecting the win.
Considering the Padres and Astros are not exactly what we would call “good”
offenses (although the Astros have shown signs of life recently), this is about
as good a chance as you have to insert Garland in your lineup.
Jeff Niemann, Tampa Bay Rays, vs. Los Angeles
(AL), vs. Washington:
Part
of a very impressive Rice University college rotation (three starters within
the top-8 picks of the 2004 draft), Niemann is the first to have actual
professional success. That success has really begun to manifest itself over his
last five starts, going 3-1, with a 2.03 ERA and a 1.065 WHIP. Niemann's last
time out was a two-hit complete game shutout. Niemann has always had the
potential, so while he seems to be figuring it out, now is the time to get on
board and start him.
Randy Johnson, San Francisco Giants, at
Arizona, vs. Oakland:
It's amazing to think that this past week, we
may have seen the last 300-win pitcher ever. Sure there are guys who can get
there (Roy Halladay seems to have
the best opportunity, but he is not even halfway there), but the 5-man rotation
has really diminished the likelihood of another one anytime soon. Johnson has
had a rough start to the year, with a 5.12 ERA, but he still strikes out nearly
a batter per inning. His major issue is that he has been giving up an absurd
amount of home runs (10 in 58 innings), even for a guy who has had bouts of
gopheritis throughout his career.
Matched up against Arizona and Oakland this
week may remedy the long-ball issues, as neither team really mashes the ball
too far. Provided he gets the ball in the strike zone (he had an
uncharacteristic seven walks in three innings against the Diamondbacks his last
start against them), he could easily be looking at wins 301 and 302 this week.
Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels, at Tampa
Bay, vs. San Diego:
Weaver is making the leap this year, with a
5-2 record, with a 2.26 ERA and a 1.004 WHIP this year. He strikes out nearly
one batter per inning (with 63 strikeouts in 75 2/3 innings). He has a 2-0
career record against the Rays, with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.800 WHIP with 18
strikeouts in 20 innings. He has never faced the Padres. The way Weaver is
pitching right now, he should be able to handle anyone, Rays and Padres
included.
And finally, we resume our
Arlington/Coors/Great American/Citizen's Bank watch: