
|
This is what Aaron Rowand looks like when he's not busy ramming his face into the outfield wall, and that's just one of the reason's Paul is not too keen on him.
|
As April winds down and numbers start to settle in, many teams that aren’t sitting where they want to be will be looking at the trade market to see what kind of help is available to them. Today, I will look at a series of sell high and a series of series of buy low candidates found in the fantasy landscape. We’ll also welcome back an All-Star ballot worth of players this week, so make sure your lineups are in order.
Sell High
Outfielder Eric Byrnes, Arizona Diamondbacks –
Call me crazy, but with a career line of .263/.324/.451, I’m not exactly buying into the .313/.370/.494 start. Byrnes’ 26 homers and 25 steals a season ago coupled with this start have his value at a career-high. Ship him out for more stable, bankable offensive talent or an above average starting pitcher.
Outfielders Luis Gonzalez & Shawn Green, Dodgers/Mets –
I paired these two oldies together because of their similar statistics (three homers, 10 runs batted in, one steal), but also because I’d trade each of them as quickly as I possibly could. To be fair, Green is four years younger than Gonzalez at 35, but their recent history makes me very skeptical of their fast start.
Outfielder Aaron Rowand, Philadelphia Phillies – His kamikaze play in centerfield leads me to believe that this .355/.446/.500 will not last. Oh and the fact that it is way off of his career levels of .281/.338/.447 plays a part, too. He has never driven in over 70 runs and he has hit more than 13 home runs just once. If you can get someone to buy into those inflated rate statistics and take him off hands, do so immediately.
Starting Pitcher Tim Wakefield, Boston Red Sox –
Have you got a rabid Sawx fan in your league that is so happy that Wakefield is off to “a fricken wicked good staht”? He would be your trade partner in this instance. If not, just find someone in desperate need of an ERA boost that isn’t too keen on… well, anything. I doubt you can land all that much for Wakefield at age 40, but if you can find another starter (maybe one that is off to rough start, but has the skills to rebound), then I’d look to move him. You don’t want to be the one taking the shellackings necessary to even that ERA back out to 4.40.
 |
|
Paul likes Tim Hudson, but not enough to believe that what we are seeing now is going to last.
|
Starting Pitcher Tim Hudson, Atlanta Braves –
Frankly, I’m a huge Hudson fan and I love the resurgence. That said, his value will never be higher and at the end of the day, we’re talking about winning, not playing favorites. Hudson’s track record is lengthy enough for this to be a rebound and not a flash in the pan. That said, at 3-0 with a 0.62 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, you start to throw names like Brandon Webb, Scott Kazmir, and John Smoltz in the discussion for a possible return on Hudson.
Starting Pitcher Ramon Ortiz, Minnesota Twins –
In three of his last four seasons, Ortiz has posted an ERA above 5.00 while pitching at least 171 innings in each of those seasons. It would be pretty foolish to buy too much into the 2.48 ERA through four starts, but you can probably find someone to do just that in your league. As with the guys above, there is a chance that the owners in your league feel the same way you do and wouldn’t touch these players with a ten-foot pole, but you won’t know unless you try. The fact that you can find Ortiz on the ERA and WHIP leaderboards should help in moving him. Do so before it’s too late.
Buy Low
Selling high is often difficult for owners because we like to believe our perfect scouting landed the steal of the year and he will continue to perform way above career levels. Sometimes, simply admitting you got a lucky wave of play from a reserve round player is necessary as you look to move him as quickly as possible. Buying low, however, is something of an art. If you pick the proper players slumping right now that come back to life over the course of the next five months, you could bring home that 1st place prize.
There are a few different levels of buying low. I don’t think mentioning Alfonso Soriano is at all necessary in the buy low portion because anyone playing this game to win knows that you jump on Soriano at anything resembling a discounted rate.
Outfielder Gary Sheffield, Detroit Tigers –
Though he does have 15 strikeouts and a paltry .119 average, he also has 13 walks leading to a .308 on-base percentage. Sheffield is definitely in a funk of epic proportions, but he has a two-week tear with six homers and a .400 average in his future. He could very well be had for a song when you consider that .119 average ranks as the worst in the American League among those qualified for the batting title.
 |
|
He doesn't look like Royce Clayton, so why do his numbers?
|
Shortstop Michael Young, Texas Rangers –
There isn’t much within his early numbers that suggest Young is going to be fine, but his track record prior to this season is enough to target him and prey on a disgusted owner. In the past three years, June and July have been his best months, but he has also been solid in May with a .295/.335/.452 line. The saddest thing about his start is that the other shortstop in Texas, Adam Everett, is outperforming him.
First Baseman Lance Berkman, Houston Astros –
Very similar to Sheffield in that he is a superstar that is still showing a tremendous eye, but just hasn’t been able to get going with the bat thus far. He is still Houston’s best hitter and the fact that he has a bad month under his belt only makes the outlook on his next five months that much brighter.
Designated Hitter Frank Thomas, Toronto Blue Jays –Thomas probably won’t club 39 home runs again this season, but he will certainly raise his performance from where it is. Consider that in his last three seasons, he has hit .237 in April, including .190 last April. Thomas will heat up again like he did in 2006 and he will be a viable power source for both the Blue Jays and your fantasy team. Those that got him this season hoping 06 wasn’t a fluke probably feel as though it was and will be looking to unload him.
Last week, I outlined a list of buy low pitchers that included: Erik Bedard, Brett Myers (whoops), Brandon Webb, Aaron Harang, Ben Sheets, Boof Bonser, Edgar Gonzalez, Dave Bush, Barry Zito, Ervin Santana, and Carlos Zambrano.