
As
we all know, a fairly large number of players change teams either through free
agency or via trade every offseason making it almost impossible to be completely in-the-know. It's our goal at Sports Grumblings to keep you abreat of the fast paced player movement leading up to spring training.
This column will provide the skinny on hitters of note who
have changed addresses since last season. Those preparing for fantasy drafts
should without fail be familiar with these developments prior to draft day.
Provided in this analysis are the players overall ranking both in mixed and league formats. If the player is not in the Top-250 the rank will be reflected with the notation of (NR).
Alfonso Soriano, OF, CHI
SG Ranking
Mixed League (10)
NL Only (7)
Considering the season Soriano put together in 2006 and the $136 million
contract he signed with the Cubs in November, expectations are sure to be sky
high. Last season Soriano posted career highs in HR (46), OBP (.351), SLG
(.560). The move to Wrigley Field should be beneficial to him offensively, but
at the same time, it would be wise not to really allow that to influence your
expectations for 2007. After all, it is important to remember that Soriano hit
24 of his 46 homers at pitcher-friendly RFK Stadium a year ago so depending on
how the wind blows off the lake, matching those numbers will be difficult, let
alone top them. Soriano is a safe bet to at least put up numbers similar to
those he posted in 2005 (.268-36-104 with 30 SB) and possibly something
in-between what he has done over the past two seasons.
Carlos Lee, OF, HOU
SG Ranking
Mixed League (44)
NL Only (23)
Lee should thrive at his new hitter-friendly home in Houston. He has been one of the most
consistent hitters in the league over the past three years averaging
(.290-33-110-97-14) per season during that period. There is no reason to expect
a decline in any offensive department and it is quite possible he could reach
the 40 home run mark for the first time in his career.
Adam LaRoche, 1B, PIT
SG Ranking
Mixed League (95)
NL Only (50)
LaRoche took a giant step forward in 2006 with by far the best season
(.285-32-90 with .915 OPS – all career highs) of his young career. The
27-year-old followed a modest first half with a monster second half
(.323-19-48-49-0 with 1.042 OPS). That surge, probably not coincidentally, came
on the heels of LaRoche's decision to finally take prescription medication to
help him deal with the attention deficit disorder that he was diagnosed with
years ago. LaRoche admitted last summer that the disorder caused him to have
lapses in concentration to the point where he would be daydreaming while at the
plate and in the field—sometimes losing track of things such as the count and
number of outs. Whatever the reason, LaRoche finally realized his potential
last season. The move to Pittsburgh and
hitter-friendly PNC
Park figures to
compliment his production of 2006. Let's just say we are bully on LaRoche
moving forward.
Julio Lugo, SS/2B, BOS
SG Ranking
Mixed League (115)
AL Only (59)
After hitting .308-12-27-53-18 in 73 games prior to his July 31 trade to the
Dodgers, Lugo struggled mightily the rest of the season (.219-0-10-16-6 in 49
games). Those struggles were at least partly due to an injured right
middle-finger and the fact that he just never seemed to get comfortable with
his utility role in Los Angeles.
The move back to the familiar American League and into a fierce Red Sox lineup
should bode well for Lugo
in '07. He is expected to bat leadoff for Boston
which means he should have a great chance to not only score 100 runs for the
first time in his career, but surpass the mark.
Aubrey Huff, OF/1B/3B,
BAL
SG Ranking
Mixed League (182)
AL Only (93)
The move to Baltimore
should put an end to the trade rumors that have surrounded Huff for much of the
past couple of seasons. Let us not forget that just two years ago he hit .297
with 29 homers and 104 runs batted in. He is expected to bat fifth and play
everyday, primarily in left field for the Orioles. Huff has had success at
Camden Yards throughout his career (.285-8-29 with .843 OPS in 48 games) so
there is certainly reason to be optimistic about his chances in the coming
season. Hitting behind Future Hall of Fame shortstop Miguel Tejada won't hurt.
Mike Piazza, C, OAK
SG Ranking
Mixed League (NR)
AL Only (135)
Piazza moves to a situation that is tailor made to his talents. In Oakland, the veteran
catcher will serve as the team's primary designated hitter. Not having to play
defense, aside from the rare occasion, should help him stay upright for the majority
of the season. There is a real chance that he could once again rank as a
top-five catcher in 2007—but everything would have to fall into place for the
future Hall Of Famer. Temper your expectations for the 38-year-old broken down
catcher.
Gary Sheffield, OF, DET
SG Ranking
Mixed League (218)
AL Only (114)
The Tigers made a bold move acquiring the services of the 38-year-old Sheffield. Not only did Detroit
send three pitching prospects to the Yankees in the trade, the Tigers then
signed Sheffield to a two-year, $28 million
contract extension. That means the Tigers now owe the veteran $41 million over
the next three years. Sheffield is expected to
see the vast majority of his playing time as the team's designated hitter, but
the Tigers have said that he will see some time in the outfield as well. If the
wrist that sidelined him for much of 2006 is fully healthy, Sheffield should
put up solid numbers, but the move to pitcher-friendly Comerica Park
will damper his production. Note that SG ranks Sheffield
in a reserve role as a mixed league option. At 38-years-of-age, hitting from
the right side at Comerica, and being projected to play in only 120 games
this season means veteran fantasy owners will avoid his services. If for
nothing else his ADP won't equate to his production. Just because the Tigers
overpaid for damaged goods, doesn't mean fantasy owners have too.
J.D. Drew, OF, BOS
SG Ranking
Mixed League (136)
AL Only (72)
The move to Boston offers Drew the opportunity to rival his impressive 2004
campaign, but that can only happen if he stays healthy. There is still
lingering concern over his right shoulder. So much concern, in fact, that the
Red Sox actually reworked the five-year, $70 million contract agreed to back in
November to include financial safeguards against any future injuries to his
shoulder. The experienced fantasy manager knows the Drew's MO. He is the
epitome of a high risk/high reward player, after missing 50 or more games four
different times in his career.
Frank Thomas, DH, TOR
SG Ranking
Mixed League (184)
AL Only (97)
We've all seen what the big slugger is capable of offensively, but that
potential comes with a risk. Thomas missed 25 games a year ago and played in
just 108 games combined over the two seasons prior to that. There's no denying
his ability to swing the bat, but one must also be prepared for the likelihood
that he'll miss a significant number of games. If Thomas can manage to appear in
close to 140 games again in 2007, there's absolutely no reason to think he can't match the numbers (.270-39-114) he compiled last season.. But expecting
an aging slugger with two bad knees to completely avoid the disabled list is not realistic. Those who witnessed Thomas hobble to first base last
year know he's literally on his last leg.
Josh Barfield, 2B, CLE
SG Ranking
Mixed League (84)
AL Only (37)
Barfield posted solid numbers in his rookie season (.280-13-58-72-21 in
150 games) and the move to Cleveland
should offer him more opportunities to produce offensively. The move from PETCO Park
into the offensive firepower of the Indians lineup is favorable. The
24-year-old has the potential to hit 20 HR and it's possible he could enter the
20-20 club this summer.
Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B, SD
SG Ranking
Mixed League (250)
NL Only (122)
Kouzmanoff was the principle player acquired from Cleveland in the Josh Barfield trade. The
25-year-old struggled with Cleveland late last year (.214-3-11 in 56 AB), but
prior to that had a solid minor league campaign (.379-22-75 with 5 SB in 94
games) that was split between Double-A Akron and Triple-A Buffalo. The Padres
have veterans Russell Branyan and Todd Walker to back up the young-gun, so any
offensive slump could place Kouzmanoff in a platoon role. Buyer Beware.
Mark DeRosa, INF/OF, CHC
SG Ranking
Mixed League (174)
NL Only (83)
DeRosa is a better platoon player than he is an everyday player (.983 OPS vs.
LHP, .746 OPS vs. RHP in 2006 and .864 OPS vs. LHP, .683 OPS vs. RHP lifetime),
but the Cubs will use him to plug the hole at second baseman this season. Much
of his value comes from his multi-positional qualifications. The long time
journeyman will be in the lineup virtually everyday -- but his move from the AL to the NL reduces his
overall value.