
5. Derrek Lee Chicago Cubs
Lee
played in only 50 games last season due to a broken wrist. He looked solid after returning in
September, so the Cub bag-man should make a full recovery and be at full strength entering spring training. Lee had been extremely durable prior to 2006. He played in no less than
155 games from 2000 to 2005. The homers
will be there. However, don't expect a
batting average like he had in 2005. That .335 average was 54 points better than anything he had posted
before. A .310-.320 average is more
reasonable and would give him the numbers to challenge the top corner-fielders in the league. Lee also can steal a good
number of bases for a first baseman. He
had double-digit thefts from 2002 to 2005.
Derrek Lee 2007 Projections
|
G
|
AB
|
Runs
|
Hits
|
2B
|
3B
|
HR
|
BB
|
RBI
|
SO
|
SB
|
CS
|
E
|
AVG
|
|
132
|
463
|
85
|
146
|
35
|
2
|
31
|
65
|
96
|
7
|
12
|
4
|
7
|
0.320
|
6. Todd Helton Colorado Rockies
At 33, Helton is not what he once
was. His power numbers have declined
over the past few years. If not for the
boost of Coors Field, he would be very ordinary. He hit 72 points higher at home. He used to be more in the mold of a David Ortiz, but now is better compared to Nick Johnson. A very good Nick Johnson mind you, and while rumors continue to swirl that Helton will be dealt he has veto rights to any trade and has said this winter that he will finish the 2007 season as the Rockies first baseman. A move out of Denver would dramatically reduce his fantasy value.
Todd Helton 2007 Projections
|
G
|
AB
|
Runs
|
Hits
|
2B
|
3B
|
HR
|
BB
|
RBI
|
SO
|
SB
|
CS
|
E
|
AVG
|
|
137
|
502
|
91
|
156
|
38
|
3
|
15
|
96
|
83
|
7
|
3
|
1
|
4
|
0.310
|
7. Adam LaRoche Pittsburgh Pirates
LaRoche, 27, has shown improvement
in each season. The move from Atlanta to Pittsburgh
is a plus for LaRoche.He moves from a
pitcher's park to a much better place to swing the bat, PNC Park.
He hit 21 home runs on the road last season, versus only 11 in Atlanta. He will still get good protection in the
lineup, likely hitting between Sanchez and Bay. He should continue to improve in 2007 could
reach 40 homers this season playing half of his games at PNC.
Adam LaRoche 2007 Projections
|
G
|
AB
|
Runs
|
Hits
|
2B
|
3B
|
HR
|
BB
|
RBI
|
SO
|
SB
|
CS
|
E
|
AVG
|
|
147
|
514
|
75
|
142
|
37
|
1
|
29
|
53
|
94
|
11
|
0
|
2
|
7
|
0.280
|
8. Adrian Gonzalez San
Diego Padres
Gonzalez, a former No. 1 pick (2000)
has already played for three organizations. He finally got a chance to play
full time last year after he was traded to San
Diego and led the Padres in average (.304) and
home runs (24) and was within one RBI of leading in that category too. He's only 24 and has plenty of upside. His
break out year may be 2008, and despite swinging the bat at PETCO for half of his games will be the spark in the middle of a punchless Padres lineup. He is still looking for his first big league stolen
base.
Adrian Gonzalez 2007 Projections
|
G
|
AB
|
Runs
|
Hits
|
2B
|
3B
|
HR
|
BB
|
RBI
|
SO
|
SB
|
CS
|
E
|
AVG
|
|
149
|
558
|
70
|
159
|
32
|
1
|
27
|
51
|
84
|
8
|
0
|
0
|
8
|
0.280
|