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National League Fantasy First Basemen Preview
National League Fantasy First Basemen Preview
By John Rakowski | Published  02/10/2007 | NL Fantasy First Basemen Preview - (2007) , National League Fantasy Previews
National League First Basemen Preview (cont)


5. Derrek Lee Chicago Cubs

Lee played in only 50 games last season due to a broken wrist. He looked solid after returning in September, so the Cub bag-man should make a full recovery and be at full strength entering spring training. Lee had been extremely durable prior to 2006. He played in no less than 155 games from 2000 to 2005. The homers will be there. However, don't expect a batting average like he had in 2005. That .335 average was 54 points better than anything he had posted before. A .310-.320 average is more reasonable and would give him the numbers to challenge the top corner-fielders in the league. Lee also can steal a good number of bases for a first baseman. He had double-digit thefts from 2002 to 2005.

Derrek Lee 2007 Projections

G

AB

Runs

Hits

2B

3B

HR

BB

RBI

SO

SB

CS

E

AVG

132

463

85

146

35

2

31

65

96

7

12

4

7

0.320


6. Todd Helton Colorado Rockies

At 33, Helton is not what he once was. His power numbers have declined over the past few years. If not for the boost of Coors Field, he would be very ordinary. He hit 72 points higher at home. He used to be more in the mold of a  David Ortiz, but now is better compared to  Nick Johnson. A very good Nick Johnson mind you, and while rumors continue to swirl that Helton will be dealt he has veto rights to any trade and has said this winter that he will finish the 2007 season as the Rockies first baseman.  A move out of Denver would dramatically  reduce his fantasy value.

Todd Helton 2007 Projections

G

AB

Runs

Hits

2B

3B

HR

BB

RBI

SO

SB

CS

E

AVG

137

502

91

156

38

3

15

96

83

7

3

1

4

0.310


7. Adam LaRoche Pittsburgh Pirates

LaRoche, 27, has shown improvement in each season. The move from Atlanta to Pittsburgh is a plus for LaRoche.He moves from a pitcher's park to a much better place to swing the bat,  PNC Park. He hit 21 home runs on the road last season, versus only 11 in Atlanta. He will still get good protection in the lineup, likely hitting between Sanchez and Bay. He should continue to improve in 2007 could reach 40 homers this season playing half of his games at PNC.

Adam LaRoche 2007 Projections

G

AB

Runs

Hits

2B

3B

HR

BB

RBI

SO

SB

CS

E

AVG

147

514

75

142

37

1

29

53

94

11

0

2

7

0.280


8. Adrian Gonzalez San Diego Padres

Gonzalez, a former No. 1 pick (2000) has already played for three organizations. He finally got a chance to play full time last year after he was traded to San Diego and led the Padres in average (.304) and home runs (24) and was within one RBI of leading in that category too. He's only 24 and has plenty of upside. His break out year may be 2008, and despite swinging the bat at PETCO for half of his games will be the spark in the middle of a punchless Padres lineup. He is still looking for his first big league stolen base.

Adrian Gonzalez 2007 Projections

G

AB

Runs

Hits

2B

3B

HR

BB

RBI

SO

SB

CS

E

AVG

149

558

70

159

32

1

27

51

84

8

0

0

8

0.280








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