
37. Tim Hudson – Atlanta Braves (32 years old)Hudson is a guy we keep buying based on history and name value. But the truth is, while his K/9 have begun to pick back up over the last three years, it’s been at the expense of control and hits allowed. He posted career highs in homeruns (25) and ERA (4.86) last season. Everything seems to be going in the wrong direction for Hudson, reducing him to nothing more than a speculative bounce-back pick…again.
Tim Hudson 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
32
|
32
|
15
|
9
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
202
|
108
|
99
|
73
|
115
|
1.42
|
4.44
|
38. Anibal Sanchez – Florida Marlins (23 years old)Do not pay for the no-hitter. Do not pay for the ten wins, and do not pay for the 2.83 ERA. Sanchez is in line for a serious regression in his sophomore season, and his peripherals from 2006 do not match the results he ended up with. He has tremendous upside, but there is no way that you can get him at value after last season. He’s experienced some shoulder troubles of late, though he does appear to be on track to throw BP soon. The downside just outweighs the upside too significantly to warrant buying into the hype.
Anibal Sanchez 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
26
|
26
|
10
|
9
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
154
|
89
|
81
|
67
|
121
|
1.46
|
4.75
|
39. Jason Jennings – Houston Astros (28 years old)Jennings is a groundball pitcher whose peripherals are all trending in the right direction. He moves from Coors Field to Houston where he should learn to enjoy the benefits of having a defensive shortstop like Adam Everett behind him. His K/9, K/BB, HR/9, GB/FB ratios taken together show a guy primed for a break though who should turn a nice profit by seasons end.
Jason Jennings 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
31
|
31
|
12
|
10
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
196
|
104
|
95
|
86
|
121
|
1.49
|
4.36
|
40. Anthony Reyes – St. Louis Cardinals (25 years old)Reyes has tremendous strikeout ability, but comes with the baggage of control problems and a tendency for giving up the long ball. He’s reportedly been working on refining a sinker with pitching coach Dave Duncan, which could bring down his high fly ball ratios. He’s got all kinds of potential and merits a later round pick with the understanding that he could be a ratio killer if he can’t keep the ball down.
Anthony Reyes 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
26
|
26
|
8
|
10
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
139
|
75
|
68
|
45
|
112
|
1.30
|
4.43
|