21. Doug Davis – Arizona Diamondbacks (30 years old)Davis will strikeout anywhere between 150 and 200 hitters. And that sums up his value. His control has steadily declined over the last three years, causing his ERA and WHIP to rise just as steadily. He is what he is at this point, which is a durable innings eater with strikeout upside. If you’re going to take him though, you need to plan on drafting some ratio buffers as well.
Doug Davis 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
33
|
33
|
11
|
13
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
199
|
106
|
99
|
97
|
163
|
1.47
|
4.46
|
22. Freddy Garcia – Philadelphia Phillies (29 years old)Garcia is a stable number three or four type pitcher that you look to grab somewhere around round 18 or 19 in a 12 team league. His strikeout value has become marginal at best, but he will pitch a ton of innings, win around 12 games or more, and won’t kill your ratios. His control has gotten a little better every year over the past four years, which is key for him, as he has a tendency to give up the long ball.
Freddy Garcia 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
32
|
32
|
13
|
11
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
214
|
105
|
97
|
53
|
138
|
1.27
|
4.08
|
23. John Patterson – Washington Nationals (30 years old)Patterson has phenomenal upside as a guy who can rack up just under 200 strikeouts while keeping his walks and ERA down. He pitches in one of the best pitcher’s parks in the league and as of today, he’s healthy. And that’s the rub with Patterson. His arm is made of glass. At 30 years old he’s pitched more than 100 innings in a season only twice. How’s your tolerance for risk?
John Patterson 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
28
|
28
|
9
|
10
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
147
|
64
|
59
|
45
|
134
|
1.20
|
3.63
|
24. Brad Penny – Los Angeles Dodgers (28 years old)Penny was rumored to be on the trading block all winter long, but for now still finds himself with a spot in the Dodgers rotation. He recently said that he was pitching with just his fastball last season because he was afraid his other pitches would hurt his arm. Not what you like to hear. When you look at his stats, he’s definitely gets the job done. He strikes out a fair amount and has good control; he’s just too hittable, and I’m betting that grooving a fastball regularly will do that to you. Look for news that he’s found a way to get his second and third offerings back into the mix before investing too readily.
Brad Penny 2007 Projections
|
GP
|
GS
|
W
|
L
|
Sv
|
CG
|
Sho
|
IP
|
RA
|
ER
|
BB
|
K
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
|
32
|
32
|
14
|
10
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
182
|
90
|
83
|
50
|
134
|
1.32
|
4.11
|
