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SABR Grumblings: Game Scores
SABR Grumblings: Game Scores
By Ray Flowers | Published  02/25/2007 | SABR Grumblings - (2007)
Ray Flowers
SG Senior Writer Ray Flowers'  work on baseball has been featured the past two years at SportsIllustrated with his weekly fantasy mailbag column (Ray also writes a weekly column for SI on hockey). The originator of SWIP and ABA (Average Bases Allowed), Ray often proposes counterintuitive ideas that are formed from in-depth statistical analysis that have helped lead to, amongst other things, a championship in the CBS Sportsline Experts Mixed League and a second place finish in the FSTA AL Only Experts League in 2006.
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View all articles by Ray Flowers
GSC top-ten pitching performances of '06

Just how do you explain or quantify what a good game pitched is? Is a complete game (CG) with zero earned runs and 3 K a better performance than a CG with 14 K and two runs given up? Baseball fans have spent years trying to answer just this question, and while there is still no clear cut answer to the question, Bill James, among others, has presented a way that he believes we can quantify a pitchers performance. The metric which attempts to do just that, to quantify performances based on one continuum, is the focus of this article.

GAME SCORE DEFINED

Here is the formula for Game Score (GSC).

Start with 50 points.

Add 1 point for each out recorded, (3 points per inning).

Add 2 points for each inning completed after the 4th.

Add 1 point for each strikeout.

Subtract 2 points for each hit allowed.

Subtract 4 points for each earned run allowed.

Subtract 2 points for each unearned run allowed.

Subtract 1 point for each walk.

Well that's pretty straightforward isn't it?For those of you are mathematically inclined here is GSC expressed as an equation:

50 + Outs + 2(IP after the 4th) + K – 2(hits) – 4(ER) – 2 (UER) – BB

*UER = Unearned Runs

So GSC, through this simple process, quantifies what it means to pitch a great game by taking out the subjective conjecture and replacing it with a tangible formulaic equation…I like that.How about you?

GAME SCORES FROM 2006

According to GSC here are the top 10 pitching performances in the America League last year

AL  Pitcher

Date

IP

H

R

ER

BB

SO

#PIT

GSC

John Lackey

7/7

9

1

0

0

0

10

109

95

Scott Kazmir

7/3

9

2

0

0

2

10

120

91

Erik Bedard

6/21

8

2

0

0

0

12

105

90

Johan Santana

9/5

8

2

0

0

1

12

95

89

C.C. Sabathia

7/7

9

3

0

0

0

7

118

88

Shaun Marcum

9/25

8

2

0

0

1

10

113

87

Francisco Liriano

7/2

8

3

0

0

1

12

103

87

Daniel Cabrera

9/28

9

1

1

0

2

5

106

86

Esteban Loaiza

8/23

9

4

0

0

0

7

103

86

M. Hendrickson

4/6

9

3

0

0

1

5

106

85







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