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Izzy's health will play a major factor in the Cardinals starting rotation
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Heavyweight position battles took to the ring last week as the bell sounded
in first-round action of Cactus and Grapefruit league play. While it's still the
early stages of those spring training bouts, keeping an eye on who's hot and
who's not is vital to fantasy success.
Each big league team has at least one positional battle, some more. Whether
it's rookie versus rookie, veteran against veteran or a fistfight for the final
spot in the starting rotation, the March gavel has sounded. The sharp fantasy
manager who bellies up to the spring training buffet will be one step ahead when
Opening Day arrives.
Unlike fantasy football, baseball leagues are won and lost on draft day, and
success is based primarily on reliable and timely information. For Better, for
Worse runs down the fights that have fantasy implications and those that are
simply fillers on the card.
For Better
1. Boston Red Sox Closer (Joel Pineiro versus Mike Timlin and Craig
Hansen)
Pineiro was the favorite coming in, but he has struggled this
spring (10.80 ERA after three outings). While Timlin and Hansen are both
sidelined with minor injuries, the job is still Pineiro's to lose. But if the
ex-Mariner continues to struggle, expect the Sox to go with Timlin as the
Opening Day closer. Timlin strained his oblique on Feb. 25, but threw 40 pitches
against live hitters on Wednesday and reportedly "declared himself fit to
pitch." If Timlin is healthy and begins the season as the closer, his fantasy
value will skyrocket.
2. Florida Marlins Closer (Taylor Tankersley versus Kevin Gregg, Matt
Lindstrom and Henry Owens)
Coming into the spring Tankersley was
considered the favorite to begin the season as the Florida fireman. That was
before he was sidelined with a case of shoulder tendonitis. Another sidebar in
the Miami mess is Josh Johnson's elbow injury, which keeps Ricky Nolasco
in the starting rotation and out of the closer mix. All things being equal, that
leaves Gregg as the favorite to start the season as the closer, making him a
potential draft-day steal.
3. Kansas City Royals Third Baseman/Outfield (Alex Gordon versus Mark
Teahen, Emil Brown and Reggie Sanders)
This situation is far from a
conventional camp battle, but it is important for fantasy owners. The current
plan for manager Buddy Bell is to move Teahen to rightfield, leaving
Brown and Sanders to fight for the starting role in left. Sharp fantasy owners
typically put a big circle around rookies because the intelligent move is to be
skeptical, but Gordon is something special. Eventually his minor league numbers
should translate to the next level, but expecting the No. 2 pick in the 2005
draft to make an immediate impact while never playing at the Triple-A level is
optimistic at best. In 130 games at Wichita, Gordon hit .325/.427/.588 with 29
homers and an oh-so-attractive 22 steals. The steals don't make sense since
Gordon lacks major league speed, but there's little doubt he's among the top
hitting prospects in baseball. Gordon needs to break out of his spring training
struggles. He is batting .267 with only one extra base hit and one RBI in 16
at-bats.
4. Milwaukee Brewers Third Baseman (Corey Koskie versus Ryan
Braun, Tony
Graffanino and Craig Counsell)
The veteran Koskie is still recovering
from post-concussion syndrome and has yet to resume baseball-related activities.
His return date is unknown. The Brewers had initially intended to go with a
Graffanino-Counsell platoon, but a strong spring by Braun has created a change
in plans. Braun's Grapefruit league numbers (three home runs and eight RBIs in
10 at-bats) make him the favorite to begin the season as the starting third
baseman. He wasn't supposed to play this well this quickly, and his defense
remains a concern. However, he's been working closely this spring with infield
coach Dale Sveum and the practice is paying off. If Braun can overcome is
current elbow injury, don't be surprised if he not only wins the spring battle
but also contends for NL Rookie of the Year honors.
5. St. Louis Cardinals Fourth and Fifth Starters (Brad Thompson, Adam
Wainwright, Braden Looper and Ryan Franklin)
The four righties are in a
free-for-all for spots at the back of the rotation. However, Jason
Isringhausen's health will play a major factor. If Izzy's surgically
repaired hip is sound and he receives enough March work, he'll be the Opening
Day closer, making Wainwright a lock as the No. 4 starter. If Isringhausen can't
answer the bell, then Wainwright likely will return to the bullpen. While Looper
has been more impressive this spring, Franklin is more experienced as a starter.
Thompson, however, who last Sunday punched out three perfect innings on only 25
pitches, is likely to win the final rotation spot when the team needs a fifth
starter in mid-April.
Honorable Mention
Reds Closer: Until Eddie Guardado returns, David
Weathers and Mike Stanton are fighting it out. Expect Weathers to
pick up a number of cheap saves in April.
Yankees Fifth Starter: This spot is Carl Pavano's by default,
but can one simply ignore his string of freak injuries since arriving in New
York? Less than 48 hours old into spring training, Pavano was hit in the foot by
a line drive. However, he returned to the mound this past weekend and pitched
without incident. Prospect Phil Hughes is waiting in the wings.
Angels Fifth Starter: Until the final word is in on Jered
Weaver's biceps tendonitis, both Hector Carrasco and Dustin
Moseley will fill in. While the team is hopeful that Weaver will be ready to
return by mid-April, owners should be concerned. Carrasco is the favorite to
begin the season as the fifth starter and is an early-season pickup for owners
who have Weaver.
Chicago Cubs Outfield: It's difficult to believe the Cubs signed
Cliff Floyd as a mentor, but regardless, the odds of the ex-Met making it
through spring training without an injury are long, which benefits Matt
Murton.