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Sports Grumblings -
http://www.sportsgrumblings.com/basketball/articles
From the Top of the Key - May 8th 2007
http://www.sportsgrumblings.com/basketball/articles/articles/109/1/From-the-Top-of-the-Key---May-8th-2007/Page1.html
Scott Sargent
Scott Sargent is the Senior NBA fantasy analyst for Sports Grumblings. He is a
lead writer for DroppingDimes.com, and has been featured on SI.com. He also
contributes his sharp analysis for Sports Grumblings for fantasy football
fans. By Scott Sargent
Published on 05/7/2007 |
![]() Steve Nash may be an MVP, but he got knocked the @#$%! out against the Spurs. |
Looking Back
Wow. Just… wow. I’m an
East-coaster and I’m still blown away by the Western playoffs. Easily the biggest story in the entire
Association is the result of the first-round series between the winningest team
in the league and a team that had to fight just to make it into the
post-season. The big money, Xbox
360-laced locker rooms against the boys that hadn’t made it to the post season
in recent memory, with half of the team not even wearing the same jerseys for a
full year. The owner who can’t stay out
of the spotlight versus the coach he cut loose only a few years back. Only the biggest hoops fans in Oakland
could’ve even imagined this would be the result of a playoff series let alone
actually predict it. Regardless, the
Dallas Mavericks have been sent home for the summer.
Not only did this series surprise
millions of NBA fans across the world, but it totally went against all
fundamentals of the game. In no form of
past professional basketball (and I’m talking about the days dating back to
Kareem through Lambeer/Parish and even as recent as Shaq/Malone) would a team
be able to start four guards (most of whom are shoot-first) and a 21-year old
Latvian whom which many fans didn’t even know existed prior to this season. But it’s been done. These guys can flat out win games, and put
up incredibly solid stats in doing so.
And it could happen again given the “bigs” that reside in Utah this
season. But I’ll refrain from
attempting to sound like big media, but I’ll leave it with this. If these guys can somehow get past the Jazz,
and the Suns would make it past the Spurs, we could be in for one of the
greatest high-scoring series in the history of the NBA. If your favorite team is no longer around,
you’re not a fan if you’re not rooting for a Suns/Warriors series. I’ll stop talking about it simply for the fear of jinxing the possibility.
Regarding the Suns, the brutal hit
that Steve
Nash took to his nose in the final minutes of game 1 most certainly affected
the outcome. Nash still managed to put up a
line of 31 points, three rebounds, eight assists and solid shooting – 11-18
from the floor, 7-7 from the line. The
only thing that’s lacking is the minutes: 33.
A 33 that should’ve been a 34 if the unfortunate collision would not
have occurred with Tony Parker.
Parker was solid himself,
registering 32 points, eight assists, two steals and a decent night from the
floor himself (14-22). But it’s the one
steal that occurred with 3 minutes left in the game that easily defined the
outcome. I have to say, the fact that
Parker was the one that fell to the floor still baffles me, but he wasn’t the one that had to miss the final minute.
Others in the game deserve credit,
with Tim
Duncan having one of his best games of the post season with 33 points, 16 rebounds, and three blocks, and Amare Stoudemire not slowing down at all
with his 20 points, 18 rebounds and five blocks of his own. Though losing game 1 at home is a definite
blow for the Suns, this series is far from over. One key portion of this series to watch is the sixth men for each
team. Leandro Barbosa has been on
fire, while Manu Ginobili has struggled greatly. Will each continue down the same path? If history is any fortune-teller, I’m guessing we’ll see plenty
of Ginobili sooner than later so don’t count him out just yet.
Switching over to the East, we
have three teams that swept their first round opponents and one who took just a bit longer to get to the same point.
After getting a few days rest, the Chicago Bulls locked up with the
Detroit Pistons for their opening bout.
After outscoring the Miami Heat considerably, the Bulls failed to break
70 points after being out-hustled (46 rebounds and 12 steals compared to 38
rebounds and seven) and simply out-played by the ‘Stones. Foul trouble early on for Ben Gordon
and PJ
Brown coupled with poor shooting by anyone not named “Deng” or
“Hinrich” and it was an all-around rough game for the Bulls.
Four of the starting five for
Detroit were in double-figures, with each of the five recording at least one
steal – and Lindsey Hunter adding three rips of his own. Ironically, it was the guard play of Detroit
that made the difference in the game as Rip Hamilton and Chauncey Billups each had
20. These two will likely combine for
quite a mismatch for Gordon and Kirk Hinrich, so Chicago has their work cut
out for them. The Bulls are a different
team at home, so if they can pull out Game Two, they’re in great shape – but if game 1 was any indication, it could be a long next couple of days.
The New Jersey Nets and Cleveland
Cavaliers combined for a slow-starting Game One of their own. The Cavaliers did their best to seal off Jason Kidd,
Vince
Carter and Richard Jefferson – resulting in several
easy buckets for Mikki Moore and Bostjan Nachbar, while the Nets did their
best to shut down LeBron James – resulting in Larry Hughes
and Sasha
Pavlovic stepping up big.
Pavlovic had what was easily the biggest play of the game when he had a come-from-behind block against Kidd late in the fourth quarter, preserving what was a four-point lead.
Neither team played well, with the
Nets shooting 37% as a team with the Cavaliers barely cracking 40%. Though he was relatively quiet in game 1
(with only
21 points), one can never count out Vince Carter for at least one or two
30-point nights in the upcoming games.
Also, hoping for Jason Kidd to shoot 2-11 each night out is a pipedream at this stage. Game 1 is a great first step for the Cavaliers, but this series is far from a pushover that was the
case with the Washington Wizards.
![]() T-Mac may have some serious skills-- but don't counting winning a playoff series among those. |
With Tracy McGrady failing to get
yet another team out of the first round, all eyes will likely be on the Utah
Jazz and Golden State Warriors. Can the
Warriors keep up with the same style of play that has gotten them this far? Carlos Boozer and Mehmet Okur are arguably
better runners than Dirk Nowitzki and any combination of DeSagana
Diop and Erick Dampier - which could also pose a
problem for Stephen Jackson, who had the honor of guarding Nowitzki last
series. Boozer is exponentially more of
an inside presence, so the defensive sets that Don Nelson throws at the Jazz
will be very interesting.
Another point of contention will
continue to be the health of Baron Davis. After playing a role of Superman in the Dallas series, Davis had
been held out of practices allowing for his hamstring to heal. He’s been a huge part of the 105 points per
game that the Warriors have put up thus far in the post-season, so his impact
is very vital to the success (or lack of) that the Warriors may have in the
second round. It should be worth
mentioning that the Jazz have only broken 100 points once in the post-season,
and that was in the 103-99 Game Seven win over the Rockets.
Look for the Phoenix Suns to
bounce back in Game Two this week. This
game was definitely winnable even with the two-time MVP Steve Nash being
unusable for the final minute – so having him available for a full 48 minutes
could (and should) make the difference.
The Tim Duncan/Amare Stoudemire match-up should continue to be one for
the ages as you pit a big man known more for his sound fundamentals against a
younger, more-explosive big man known more for his running and pure power. And as mentioned earlier, this series could
easily come down to the bench – staring with Leandro Barbosa and Manu Ginobili.
The two series in the Eastern
conference, though not as exciting, could wind up being just as important. The Bulls will definitely look to improve
from game 1, but let’s face it…it can’t get much worse. If the biggest story to come out of this
series is Ben Wallace facing his old team, we’ll have a huge problem. The shots of Ben Gordon, Kirk Hinrich and
Luol Deng are bound to fall at least one night, so if the Bulls can dictate the
pace of game 2, we could have a different outcome.
Finally, can LeBron James take his
team to the conference finals this season?
After being up 3-2 last season, the last win of the regular season this
year can prove to be that much more important – as they could’ve been the ones
playing the Pistons this week. Vince
Carter has historically given the Cavaliers fits, and Jason Kidd is still one
of the best point guards in the league.
If you could take any pair of players for your backcourt, would it be
Carter and Kidd or Larry Hughes and Sasha Pavlovic? Yea, that’s what I thought.
Comparing frontcourts is like apples and oranges at this point, but if
Kidd and company can compensate for that, the Nets could still find themselves
back in the same position they were in only a few years back: The Eastern
Conference Finals.
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