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Sports Grumblings -
http://www.sportsgrumblings.com/basketball/articles
From Top of the Key - May 16, 2007
http://www.sportsgrumblings.com/basketball/articles/articles/119/1/From-Top-of-the-Key---May-16-2007/Page1.html
Scott Sargent
Scott Sargent is the Senior NBA fantasy analyst for Sports Grumblings. He is a
lead writer for DroppingDimes.com, and has been featured on SI.com. He also
contributes his sharp analysis for Sports Grumblings for fantasy football
fans. By Scott Sargent
Published on 05/16/2007 |
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If you missed game 4 of the San Antonio/Phoenix series, or have been living under a giant basketball rock for the last 48 hours, you may not have seen Robert Horry’s cheap-shot flagrant foul on Steve Nash with seconds remaining. Nash’s teammates come to the rescue, some pushing and shoving ensues, Amare Stoudemire and teammate Boris Diaw take a couple of steps off of the bench before getting ushered back, everything’s kosher. Not so much.
The NBA has officially suspended Horry two games for his shot to Nash, as well as one-game dings served to Stoudemire and Diaw.
While postseason fantasy hoops are not as prevalent as it is
in the regular
season, those that are participating in a league this year have
just received one of the biggest blows imagined. Yes, those that drafted Dirk
Nowitzki first overall aren’t doing too hot themselves, but that was Dirk’s
fault. Those that will be losing Stoudemire and his playoff averages of 24 points, 12 rebounds and two blocks
for game 5 will be losing him because of a “ruling.” And don’t think quite yet that “it’s only one game.” It’s game 5 of a series-tied playoff. It’s not very far-fetched to assume that the
Spurs can easily take game 5 on the road and then simply wrap things up at home
in game 6 – ending Stoudemire’s (as well as his Phoenix Suns teammates’)
playoffs. 
Nowitzki might have won the League MVP, but he didn't win the hearts of his playoff fantasy faithful
If you’re feeling like some “opinion” is leaking through
here – you’re right. I think this is
ridiculous. Yes, it’s a rule, but if it’s going to be
interpreted the way it is, there is still some objectivity to it and it needs
to be revamped to at least a case-by-case basis for times like this. With Golden State done (which I’ll get to in
a second) and the Eastern teams hardly as exciting as the West, the NBA needs this
series to be full-go for it to flourish.
With the suspensions, I’d be willing to wager that a certain percentage
of fans will be watching the game only to see if Phoenix physically responds to
the shot by Horry, along with those that want to see if the Suns can even
compete without their big man.
Pat Burke will be
logging in some time in the middle, simply by default. Burke has averaged two minutes a game in the
playoffs and has not had a point nor a rebound in this entire series. Talk about a headliner.
The other series
in the West has come to a close. Many
saw this coming once the Jazz were able to win one on the road, as the finally
took the series home 4-1. For the third
game in the last four, the Warriors were within reach of winning but fell very,
very flat in the final minutes allowing the Jazz to seal the deal.
One quick look at Deron
Williams’ line of two points, seven assists and five
turnovers, how could
Utah win this game? The Utah front court was just too much for Golden State to handle,
that’s how. Game 5 featured Andrei Kirilenko, Carlos Boozer and Mehmet
Okur all achieving double-doubles with Boozer and Kirilenko each achieving
a 20-point, 10-rebound night. Couple
all of this with Derek Fisher
draining four long-balls en route to a 20-point night of his own, and that’s
the series. 
Fisher was insperational as the Jazz dominated the Warriors in Round 2
The Warriors put up a solid fight in the post-season, and
didn’t take the “happy to be here” approach.
They thought they could win, and they did – against the best team in
basketball - which is commendable. Baron Davis, Jason Richardson and Stephen
Jackson seem to get along very well given the fact that they only played
together a few times this season. The
future of the team is obviously up in the air given the way the NBA is these
days, but with Matt Barnes being the
only unrestricted free agent, we might be in for a treat next year.
Don’t look now, but we may have a couple of series’ in the
East! After the Detroit Pistons
dominated the Chicago Bulls for two straight games, and then came back from a
19-point deficit to win the third, the Bulls have since rattled off two
straight wins with one being in Detroit.
The Pistons now lead the series 3-2, but have to travel back to Chicago
for game 6.
In a strange turn of events, the Pistons failed to have
anyone achieve the 20-point mark in game 5, while Luol Deng and Ben Gordon
both put up at least 20 along with a Kirk
Hinrich double-double. Tyrus Thomas put up a commendable
performance with 10 points, six rebounds, five steals and a block in 21 minutes. Hopefully, this type of play isn’t a
one-game anomaly for the Bulls, as the Pistons still have great numbers
all-around. Chauncey Billups is averaging 17 points, seven assists and nearly three
3-pointers in the series, while Rasheed
Wallace, Richard Hamilton, and Tayshaun Prince are also averaging
double-figure point totals.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the New Jersey Nets on
Wednesday night,
looking to end this series at home. A few games ago, talks surrounded not letting Detroit get too
much rest before the finals, but if LeBron
James and company can take care of business, it looks like they’ll be the
ones getting the rest. 
James is doing his best Michael Jordan impression in these playoffs
Each one of these games has been extremely close, despite
the score in game 2. The Cavaliers
average only one point more a game than the Nets, with both teams shooting 42%
for the series. Cleveland have the lead
in the rebounds, but the Nets are out-assisting the Cavaliers by more than four
a game.
![]() Baron Davis' post-season performance has sent his fantasy value sky-high. |
For fantasy purposes, several Golden State Warriors elevated
their draft status for next season.
Baron Davis showed us all what we knew he could do, if he stays
healthy. He missed a slew of games this
past season – though playing in the most games since 2003. For 82 games, he’s a top-tier point guard
making his rotisserie value considerably higher than his head-to-head. He’ll be the ultimate risk-reward pick next
season, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see him go in the first three rounds.
If Al Harrington maintains his center-eligibility, his value obviously goes up – but owners must not forget about Andres Biedrins. As of now, it looks like their in a time-share depending on the match-up, which isn’t something I’d be willing to gamble on for my fantasy team, but may provide decent value if they fall far enough in your drafts.
One player that I think may go a bit high next year from
this group will be Monta Ellis. This past year, owners were able to take him
in the late rounds of their drafts (or even free agent lists if the league was
shallow enough), but that won’t be the case this time around. He’ll likely be a mid-round pick, which is
about where his upside will land him.
Of course, if Richardson gets hurt again – then mid-rounds will be great
for the MIP, but we’ll see.
You can pretty much wave goodbye to the futures of Damon Jones, Donyell Marshall and Scot
Pollard in Cleveland. Pollard
hasn’t had an impact all season, but both Jones and Marshall have had time on
various fantasy rosters. These three
veterans still think they have some left in the tank, so it’s just a matter of
where they land. Marshall’s inability
to have an interior presence doomed his fantasy impact since his days in
Toronto. Jones is still living off of
his season in Miami where he was a solid option in every league. What’s also ironic is that these two guys
were to be “key additions” only two years ago.
Where they end up remains to be seen, but I wouldn’t count on much from
either of them in fantasy leagues ever again.
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