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From Top of the Key - May 16, 2007
From Top of the Key - May 16, 2007
By Scott Sargent | Published  05/16/2007 | From the Top of the Key
Scott Sargent
Scott Sargent is the Senior NBA fantasy analyst for Sports Grumblings. He is a lead writer for DroppingDimes.com, and has been featured on SI.com.  He also contributes his sharp analysis for Sports Grumblings for fantasy football fans.  

View all articles by Scott Sargent
From Top of the Key - May 16, 2007 (cont)
 Baron Davis - Fantasy Basketball
Baron Davis' post-season performance has sent his fantasy value sky-high.

Looking Forward

For fantasy purposes, several Golden State Warriors elevated their draft status for next season.  Baron Davis showed us all what we knew he could do, if he stays healthy.  He missed a slew of games this past season – though playing in the most games since 2003.  For 82 games, he’s a top-tier point guard making his rotisserie value considerably higher than his head-to-head.  He’ll be the ultimate risk-reward pick next season, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see him go in the first three rounds.   

If Al Harrington maintains his center-eligibility, his value obviously goes up – but owners must not forget about Andres Biedrins.  As of now, it looks like their in a time-share depending on the match-up, which isn’t something I’d be willing to gamble on for my fantasy team, but may provide decent value if they fall far enough in your drafts.

One player that I think may go a bit high next year from this group will be Monta Ellis.  This past year, owners were able to take him in the late rounds of their drafts (or even free agent lists if the league was shallow enough), but that won’t be the case this time around.  He’ll likely be a mid-round pick, which is about where his upside will land him.  Of course, if Richardson gets hurt again – then mid-rounds will be great for the MIP, but we’ll see. 

You can pretty much wave goodbye to the futures of Damon Jones, Donyell Marshall and Scot Pollard in Cleveland.  Pollard hasn’t had an impact all season, but both Jones and Marshall have had time on various fantasy rosters.  These three veterans still think they have some left in the tank, so it’s just a matter of where they land.  Marshall’s inability to have an interior presence doomed his fantasy impact since his days in Toronto.  Jones is still living off of his season in Miami where he was a solid option in every league.  What’s also ironic is that these two guys were to be “key additions” only two years ago.  Where they end up remains to be seen, but I wouldn’t count on much from either of them in fantasy leagues ever again.

And finally, the contract status of two big names will determine where they will provide services in the near future.  Both Chauncey Billups and Vince Carter will be looking for big deals this off-season.  Billups will very likely receive offers from Detroit, as he’s been nothing but huge for them over the last few years.  Carter’s days in New Jersey seem to be as good as over, even more so if the Nets drop game 5.  The Nets are a group of simply underachieving stars and it’s a shame since they’ll have Nenad Krstic back full strength next season.  Many pundits have Carter finishing his career up in Orlando, providing the Magic with some solid wing play that was frequently filled by names like Hedo Turkoglu and Trevor Ariza – making Carter an obvious upgrade in terms of talent.  What it does to the team will be realized soon enough.




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