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Quality Games: How Consistency Makes A Difference
Quality Games: How Consistency Makes A Difference
By Bob Lung | Published  07/23/2007 | Quality Games
Bob Lung
A veteran fantasy football writer, Bob Lung brings his concept of "Quality Games"-- a measure of player consistency and performance-- to Sports Grumblings, the home of the BDDM and FFRS.  

View all articles by Bob Lung
Winning Consistently Rather Than Winning Luckily
 Fantasy Football - Chad Johnson
Chad Johnson scored the sixth-most fantasy points at his position, but 11 scored more Quality Game points - why does that matter?

Many emails ask me about how this Quality Game Scores really makes a difference.  Sure, it sounds great on paper, but what can I do to see where my team would have been last season had my team been more consistent throughout the regular season?

No problem, folks!  Below is a method of how you can use your team in your league to see where you and the rest of your league owners would have been record-wise if your team was more consistent.

Improving Your Fantasy Team's Performance in 2007

PLEASE, TRY THIS AT HOME!!!

Take your league and do the following:

1.       List each team’s actual record and their team average points per week (game).

2.       Take your team first and use your team’s average weekly score and replaced it in each of your weekly games. 

3.       Now, determine how many games you would have won or loss.

4.       This revised won/loss record is called your team’s Consistency Record.

5.       Now, complete these same above four tasks for all of the other teams in your league.

Did you notice how some of the team’s Consistency Record was better than their actual record?   However, this would have only occurred with the teams whose average score was higher than the league average score.  Teams below the league average can NOT be helped by consistency, because being “consistently bad” is still… well, bad.

I have listed below an example league to show you how a more consistent team will normally improve their record.


Actual Record

Avg PtsPer Week

Consistency Record

Change

Team 1

8-6

129.6

12-2

+4

Team 2

9-5

129.3

11-3

+2

Team 3

12-2

125.4

12-2

0

Team 4

11-3

116.9

11-3

0

Team 5

9-5

114.7

9-5

0

LEAGUE AVERAGE

109.6

Team 6

8-6

107.8

7-7

-1

Team 7

5-9

106.4

4-10

-1

Team 8

4-10

102

4-10

0

Team 9

7-7

101.2

7-7

0

Team 10

4-10

97.3

4-10

0

Team 11

3-11

96.7

3-11

0

Team 12

4-10

87.7

3-11

-1

As you can see above, the teams above the league average either stayed the same or benefited from having a more consistent team, especially Teams 1 & 2, who could have gained four and two wins respectively.  The important thing to note is the teams below the league average would receive no benefit at all, in fact; in this case, their records would have been worse, if they were more consistent.

Another great case in point here is two teams (Teams 2 & 5)-- which each had a 9-5 record-- but Team 2 averaged 14.6 points per week more.  If his team would have been consistent, he would have been 11-3 and made the playoffs.  The lack of consistency in his team cost him the playoffs and even possibly a Fantasy Championship.

First off, let me make this perfectly clear, consistency WILL NOT make a bad team competitive!  If your team’s weekly average was far below the league average, then your team was extremely lucky to be competitive (i.e., make the playoffs).

Therefore, the most important part to creating a playoff bound fantasy team is to draft an above average team, in comparison to the other teams in your league. 

I have been playing Fantasy Football for over 20 years and I can’t tell you how many times I have seen high scoring teams, including my own, not make the playoffs.  We used to get upset and throw our hands up and curse the “bad luck”.  Now, you and I can stop cursing and do something about it!  We can create a Quality Team with an emphasis on consistency!   

As the information above shows, a Quality Team can mean one or two or more wins for an above average team.  Those additional wins can mean making the playoffs.  Making the playoffs means YOU have a chance to win a Fantasy Championship!

The Quality Game Scores is just another tool to add to your arsenal, as you work each season to take your team to the Fantasy Championship.  I look forward to any questions or concerns you may have relating to the Quality Game Scores.  You can email me at boblung@sportsgrumblings.com and I’ll be happy to address them individually.





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