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Rookie Report: Week 4
Rookie Report: Week 4
By Scott Sargent | Published  09/28/2007 | Rookie Report
Scott Sargent
Scott Sargent is the Senior NBA fantasy analyst for Sports Grumblings. He is a lead writer for DroppingDimes.com, and has been featured on SI.com.  He also contributes his sharp analysis to Sports Grumblings for fantasy football fans.  

View all articles by Scott Sargent
Rookie Report: Week 4
 
Chiefs' WR Dwayne Bowe has flashed some big-play ability recently.

Another week down, more rookie news to discuss.  The cream is definitely starting to rise to the top, but don’t count out another rookie lurking into the scene this coming Sunday.  We have a stud linebacker going down, but a possible stud running back getting opportunity due to injuries.  On to this week… 

Running Backs

Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings
Season Stats: 64 car., 271 yds., 1 TD; 8 rec., 160 yds., 1 TD
Last Week: 25 car., 102 yds., 1 TD; 3 rec., 48 yds., 0 TD

If Chester Taylor would have been hurt coming into this season, Peterson would have likely been a late first round pick in some leagues.  While his work in the passing game was not much last week, and his yardage is inflated by that 60-yarder from week one, he’s only going to be incorporated in to more and more of the offense as the season wears on.  The Vikings wide receivers are abysmal, and aside from their up-and-coming tight end in Shiancoe, Peterson has a chance to be a Reggie Bush (of last year, ugh) type player for the Vikings this season.  Mewelde Moore will not cramp his style.  Easily the rookie to have this season.

Marshawn Lynch, Buffalo Bills
Season Stats: 57 car., 228 yds., 2 TD; 5 rec., 36 yds., 0 TD
Last Week: 20 car., 74 yds., 1 TD; 2 rec., 6 yds., 0 TD

With Lee Evans laying eggs thus far and J.P. Losman going down to an injury, Lynch has become the only formidable weapon on the awful Buffalo offense.  20 carries for 74 yards and pay dirt against the New England Patriots is a great sign of what the rookie can do.  The fact that he gets to face a Jets defense that is considerably weaker makes things that much better for week four.  While I wish he would be a larger part of the passing game, he may be forced into that situation with Losman’s replacement being rookie quarterback Trent Edwards.  With his blitz pick-up ability only going up from here, expect Lynch to be an every down back; resulting in plenty of dump-off passes from a raw QB.

Brandon Jackson, Green Bay Packers
Season Stats: 38 car., 97 yds., 1 TD; 11 rec., 81 yds., 0 TD
Last Week: 6 car., 22 yds., 1 TD; 3 rec., 22 yds., 0 TD

If it was not for the touchdown last week, Jackson would not even be mentioned on this week’s report.  Single-digit carries is a tough pill to swallow, but with Brett Favre passing the way he is, Jackson’s receiving abilities improve his value greatly.  If you were worried about DeShawn Wynn last week, you can breathe a sigh of relief.  However, Vernand Morency is improving and may cut into the “carries” of Jackson.  If the rookie loses goal line duties or becomes a smaller part of the passing game, feel free to cut bait.

Brian Leonard, St. Louis Rams
Season Stats: 4 car., 21 yds., 0 TD; 6 rec., 41 yds., 0 TD
Last Week: 4 car., 21 yds., 0 TD; 1 rec., 6 yds., 0 TD

If you drafted Steven Jackson and did not draft Brian Leonard then shame on you.  Leonard likely cost a pretty penny after Jackson has gone down with a groin injury and could miss the next month.  The only down side to Leonard is that the Rams have been awful this season and may not allow many carries.  If you’re in a league rewarding for receptions, Leonard’s value increases due to his pass-catching abilities.  The schedule is pretty rewarding for the Rams coming up, so Leonard is a solid flex-play this week against Dallas.  Monitor his use as he could range anywhere from must-start to forget-about in no time.

Kenton Keith, Indianapolis Colts
Season Stats: 13 car., 20 yds., 0 TD; 1 rec., -2 yds., 0 TD
Last Week: 7 car., 20 yds., 0 TD; 0 rec., 0 yds., 0 TD

If you saw the highlight of Joseph Addai lunging for the goal line last week, you can understand the Colts use of Keith.  With the team cutting ties with DeDe Dorsey, Keith steps into the back-up role that will spell Addai when needed.  Seven carries in a reserve role on the Colts may have more value that six carries for the Packers a la Brandon Jackson.  If anything, Keith should be owned in all leagues just based on what happened to Steven Jackson owners.  If you have the roster space, stash Keith for now – it may pay huge dividends later on.

Wide Receivers

Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions
Season Stats: 10 rec., 189 yds., 2 TD
Last Week: 2 rec., 58 yds., 0 TD

Holy yards-per-catch!  Even though Johnson only caught two balls before leaving with a back injury last week, he still managed to produce 58 yards of work.  He faces a very tough Chicago Bears defense this week, but with Lance Briggs questionable and the Dallas Cowboys tearing them up a week earlier, Mike Martz and his 50 pass attempts per game should keep Johnson’s value afloat.  Monitor the back injury, but it looks like Cal J should be good to go.

Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs
Season Stats: 10 rec., 135 yds., 2 TD
Last Week: 5 rec., 71 yds., 1 TD

Aside from the yardage, Bowe has quietly put up just as good of a season as Johnson has thus far.  Injury breeds opportunity in Kansas City, as does a terrible offense that result in garbage time yardage.  Thinking here is that Tony Gonzalez will be asked to block a little more than usual with Herm Edwards’ running game failing to produce.  This leaves the athletic Bowe to stretch the field.  His targets are increasing, and if he’s still out there in your league just do yourself a favor now and get him.  The Chiefs schedule gets a lot easier after week five.

James Jones, Green Bay Packers
Season Stats: 14 rec., 183 yds., 0 TD
Last Week: 6 rec., 79 yds., 0 TD

Is Green Bay the new Indianapolis?  Jones is technically the third receiver for the Packers behind Donald Driver and Greg Jennings, but he is getting seven looks a game and has shown no fear in crossing the middle of the field.  With minimal carries by the running backs in Green Bay, Favre will look to Jones more often as the season carries on.  Add a touchdown or two to his current totals and he is a top-30 receiver.  The scoring will come eventually, so don’t be the one who is late to the party.

Buster Davis, San Diego Chargers
Season Stats: 6 rec., 46 yds., 1 TD
Last Week: 4 rec., 31 yds., 1 TD

You may know him as “Craig,” but Davis has slowly emerged into a role that many pundits saw coming when they added him to their sleeper lists for this season.  The passing game for San Diego has been a bit slow to form, but once Norv Turner rights the ship that is the Chargers, expect Davis’ looks to increase as defenders drift toward Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates.  Week three’s match-up provided the majority of Davis’ stats for the season, but week four should not be much different with the Chiefs secondary flocking to the other weapons.

Quarterbacks

Brady Quinn, Cleveland Browns
Season Stats: N/A
Last Week: N/A

Quinn obviously hasn’t started nor made an appearance thus far.  However, Derek Anderson’s playing came back down to earth last week as the Oakland Raiders provided a little more defense than the Bengals did in week two.  With match-ups against Baltimore and New England over the next two weeks, Anderson’s reign as number one may be coming to an end.  The Browns would love for Quinn to not have to start until at least week seven, so he’s worth monitoring given the second half schedule of the Browns.

Trent Edwards, Buffalo Bills
Season Stats: 10-20, 97 yds., 0 TD, 1 INT, 43.1 PR
Last Week: 10-20, 97 yds., 0 TD, 1 INT, 43.1 PR

A 43.1 passer rating isn’t exactly the way that Trent Edwards likely envisioned the beginning of his playing career.  He also likely didn’t see it coming on week three of his rookie season…against the New England Patriots.  In two quarterback leagues, all starting QBs should be owned, so Edwards is worth a look.  The Jets should provide a little more throwing room this week, so here’s hoping that Lee Evans can get open and Edwards can find him early and often.  Monitor J.P. Losman’s injury as he’s said to be week-to-week.

Tight Ends

Greg Olsen, Chicago Bears
Season Stats: 2 rec., 28 yds., 0 TD
Last Week: 2 rec., 28 yds., 0 TD

The top tight end in this year’s draft finally saw some time after recovering from an injury.  He has Desmond Clark to contend with, but there is no doubting the talent of the former Hurricane.  Long-ball fan Rex Grossman has been benched in the favor of Brian Griese who should look Olsen’s way a bit more often.  Olsen may not see more than four or five targets a game, but this could increase with time and production.  He’s a solid red zone threat that deserves a spot in all standard leagues. 





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