
Things are already looking brighter in Miami.
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The 2008 draft is over, and it was
an unmitigated success. The event has
become the Super Bowl of the off-season.
For die-hard fans like me, it is great to hear all this football talk in
April. Fans throughout the country have
visions of the playoffs if their team has a good draft. This month also happens to be the time when
leagues (such as HEA)T conduct their unrestricted free agent auctions. The winners of the draft are the players
drafted early, because they will make millions in guaranteed money before they
play a down in a regular season contest.
The losers of the draft are the fantasy league owners who had high draft
picks in rookie drafts with visions of franchise running backs dancing in their
heads. The top three backs will all
play in RBBCs to some extent, because they were drafted by teams with other
talented running backs.
Let’s take a
look at the draft primarily from a fantasy perspective for each team.
AFC East
New England Patriots
Some folks believe that they
reached with their selection of LB Jerod Mayo, but I’m not one of them. Mayo is big, fast, and intelligent enough to
thrive in Belichick’s defensive scheme.
New England drafts are typically loaded with defensive picks, and this
one was no different with five of their seven picks being on the defensive side
of the ball.
New York Jets
They drafted two players who could
pay huge dividends, and that’s more than you can say about a lot of teams. LB/DE Vernon Gholston has Dwight Freeney-type pass
rushing skills, and he might even play linebacker where he will certainly rack
up more tackles than he would at end.
TE Dustin Keller could become Chad Pennington’s favorite target, because
the latter loves to throw short. Who
cares if he can’t block for the running game? In
this era of specialization, that thankless task will be left to the other tight
end in short yardage situations.
Buffalo Bills
They had one of the quietest
drafts. In fact, the Bills were one of
the few non-playoff teams that had little fanfare either before or after the
draft. There’s not much fantasy
material to pick from here. WR James
Hardy is 6'6" and could help in the red zone, because they don’t have a quality
WR2.
Miami Dolphins
Jake Long obviously won’t have a
direct impact, because we don’t employ offensive linemen (yet). However, that doesn’t mean that he won’t
have a tremendous impact to the value of RB Ronnie Brown or whoever quarterbacks the team in the
future. I like QB Chad Henne, but he won’t
have any short-term value in non-keeper fantasy leagues. Second round pick DE Phillip Merling is better
against the run than the pass at this point.
AFC South
Indianapolis Colts
There’s really nothing here from a
fantasy perspective. The only name
offensive players they picked were TE Jacob Tamme in the fourth and RB Mike Hart in the sixth round. Tamme will be groomed to replace Dallas Clark in the future, while Hart may become the primary backup to Addai. Given how Indy RBs seem to come out of nowhere during the season, keeping an eye on Hart's progress would likely prove wise.
Jacksonville Jaguars
They traded up in the first round
to grab DE Derrick Harvey and followed that up by drafting Quentin Groves with
their second pick. Both players will be
much better pro than fantasy players, because they’re much better against the
pass (i.e. sacks) than against the run (i.e. tackles). Groves is a classic boom or bust pick,
because some scouts believed that he was nearly as physically imposing as
Vernon Gholston. Unfortunately, he looked the
part of Tarzan and played like Jane.
Tennessee Titans
They drafted a running back in the
first two rounds for the third year in a row.
Owners of LenDale White and Chris Henry can’t be happy that Chris
Johnson was drafted in the first round.
White had a very good year last season, so I can’t understand why the Titans felt the need to draft a back so early.
Houston Texans
Many experts had them selecting
either Stewart or Mendenhall with their first round pick, because Ahman Green
has been an unmitigated bust. Unlike
the Bears and Lions, who got their running back later in the draft, the Texans
failed to fill that need. Steve Slaton
is hardly the answer, so look elsewhere.
AFC North
Pittsburgh Steelers
What’s good for the Steelers is
not necessarily good for us, because they now have a true RBBC. It’s hard to fathom that they will
unceremoniously kick Willie Parker to the curb, because he was leading the league in rushing at the time of his injury last season. Unfortunately, RB Rashard Mendenhall will be
relegated to short-yardage and relief duties in the short-term. WR Limas Sweed is a big, fast target who Roethlisberger will welcome with open arms.
Cleveland Browns
It’s hard to come up with an
impact rookie when you’re not picking until the fourth round. LB Beau Bell could be a factor in IDP leagues as a replacement for Andra Davis next year.
Baltimore Ravens
They would have loved to have
picked QB Matt Ryan, but they could not swing a deal with the Rams. So much for all the talk about it being impossible to move a top-five pick because of the guaranteed money associated with it. I’ve always been skeptical of such talk. You always seem to read
about all the deals that fell through on Monday, because the team at the top
asked for a fortune to move their pick.
The Rams wanted a second and a fourth in addition to the
Ravens' first, so you could hardly say that the former was being
unreasonable. Nonetheless, the team
decided to go on the cheap with QB Joe Flacco.
I’m not fond of players from small schools, especially quarterbacks,
because the competition faced by them is not nearly comparable with ones coming
from big-time college conferences like the SEC. I can’t understand the second round selection of 5'8" RB Ray Rice
with Kevin Smith still available.
Cincinnati Bengals
Their top pick, LB Keith Rivers has a chance to be an impact fantasy player. He reminds me of a larger Derrick Brooks. Rivers will run all over the field to make tackles and defend
passes as well. The selections of WRs Jerome Simpson and Andre Caldwell provide insurance for malcontent Chad Johnson. Of the two, I prefer Caldwell even though he was drafted a round later.
AFC West
San Diego Chargers
They have been working hard to
improve their secondary over the past few seasons. Unfortunately for us, defensive backs don’t have much value in
fantasy land. Third round pick FB Jacob
Hester will eventually help LaDainian Tomlinson, but he’ll have far less value
than fifth round pick Marcus Thomas, who will be in the running for RB2
duties.
Denver Broncos
There were some pre-draft reports
that they were interested in Stewart or Mendenhall, because Shanahan was
convinced that he was tired of filling the running back spot with a new starter
every season. That might still be true,
but they bypassed that desire until their fifth round selection of Ryan Torain. Like most other teams, they emphasized the offensive line, in particular the tackle spot, early and waited on the running back. That seems to be the trend these days, because you keep hearing about how easy it is to find a running back.
Kansas City Chiefs
DT Glenn Dorsey was considered the first or second best player (behind McFadden) in this year’s draft until it became common knowledge that he played with a stress fracture last year, dating back to the prior season.
Unfortunately, DTs don’t carry much value in fantasy land, so pass on him in favor of the DEs. RB Jamaal Charles will strictly be a change of pace backup to Larry Johnson and last year’s draftee Kolby Smith, so don’t pin any hopes on him.
Oakland Raiders
RB Darren McFadden is
not the second coming of Adrian Peterson or Bo Jackson. He doesn’t run with the same power or body
lean. Now, the good news. He played in the toughest conference in
college football, the SEC. McFadden
tore up good defenses like LSU, so you know he won’t be a bust. The problem is his tendency to be in the
wrong place at the wrong time. That
lack of judgment killed the career of Brien Taylor. For you non-baseball fans, Taylor was a modern-day prospect
version of Sandy Koufax. He was
destined for stardom until he decided to defend his brother in a bar fight and
subsequently tore up his shoulder.