The most talked-about writer in the entire fantasy industry makes his triumphant return to Sports Grumblings! Check out the latest from the fantasy football genius that is... Thomas Casale!
Matt Hasselbeck, QB Seahawks – I see some people
are counting on Hasselbeck to still be a relevant fantasy backup this season. I
see some people are still too stupid to live.
How done
is Hasselbeck? So much so that there is a chance Charlie Whitehurst could beat him out and be Seattle’s starting
quarterback. Whitehurst sucked when he played at Clemson, so if he is gunning
for your job, it’s probably time to hang it up.
Here is
the thing that is going to throw some people: they are going to see Pete Carroll coming in and hear that
Hasselbeck is finally healthy, etc.
It
doesn’t matter. Hasselbeck is no longer a starting quarterback in this league,
thus he should not be on your fantasy team. And yes, I just used “thus.”
Do yourself
a favor and grab Henne, Kevin Kolb,
Vince Young, Matt Cassel or Carson
Palmer to be your backup. They are much better options than a guy who will
be retired by this time next year.
Marion Barber, RB Cowboys – It’s pretty
obvious that Barber’s carries and fantasy value is on the decline but I wanted
to touch on something I don’t see anyone else talking about.
Barber
dropped 10 pounds this offseason to get “quicker.” In my opinion, this has
always been the cry of the truly desperate when it comes to power backs.
Think
about it: Barber’s game has always been predicated on power and toughness, not
quickness. Now he’s dropping 10 pounds? I don’t agree with that strategy.
Barber
would be best served to realize that Felix
Jones is going to be the starter and accept his role as the pounder in the
Cowboys backfield. Instead of getting slimmer, Barber should have focused on
just being the power back.
Now
there is a chance he isn’t going to be quick or powerful. Those kinds of backs
don’t get on the field very often.
I
really think losing weight was a big mistake by Barber. So much so I would
venture a guess that by mid-year Tashard
Choice will be getting more touches than him.
I have
always loved Barber but in my opinion he will end being the third-best fantasy
option in the Cowboys backfield this season.
DeAngelo Williams, RB Panthers – I drafted Williams
very high last season and while he had a good year, I can no longer put up with
the headache of drafting a running back high and then watch him split time with
another guy.
Listen,
if you draft Michael Bush in Round 10 you are hoping he becomes the lead back
in Oakland but if that doesn’t happen, so be it. You took a shot later in the
draft and it didn’t pan out. You accept it and move on with your life.
However,
selecting Williams in the first or second round is a totally different story.
If I take a back that high I want to know he is going to be on the field most
the time. That’s not the case with Williams, so let someone else draft him and
complain when John Fox takes him out
near the goal line in favor of Jonathan
Stewart.
Stewart
continues to get more and more carries and he is turning into a stud running
back himself. I would much rather draft him two or three rounds later than
selecting Williams so high.
Williams
will still have some big games but he is going to be inconsistent because it’s
obvious Fox is going to ride the hot hand. If you start Williams and the hot
hand is Stewart that week, you are screwed.
More
and more teams are going to a two-back system and as fantasy owners we just
have to deal with it. However, if you want to draft a back that we know is
going to split time in Round 2, be my guest.
Enjoy
swearing at the TV every Sunday this fall.
Brandon Jacobs, RB Giants – Much like Barber,
Jacobs can tell you he’s in great shape and all that crap but in reality, he’s
all done.
The
reason I really like guys like Nicks, Steve Smith and Eli Manning is because I think the Giants are going to be primarily
a passing team in 2010. Listen, big backs not named Jerome Bettis that have been declining for two years don’t all of a
sudden recapture their former glory. It’s all over.
Jacobs
will still score a touchdown here and there but he will be a spot fantasy
starter early in the year at the very best. I think Ahmad Bradshaw has much
more fantasy value than Jacobs and I expect him to be the Giants starter by
October.
Also,
keep an eye on Andre Brown. I talked
about him last summer.
I loved
Brown in college but he simply refuses to stay healthy. He was always injured
in college and missed all of last season as a rookie. However, the Giants really
like Brown and I think he’s a deep sleeper heading into the season.
Brown
has that violent running style, similar to Barber in Dallas. If Jacobs falters
and Bradshaw becomes the starter, Brown would be a nice compliment as a power
back. Keep your eye on him this preseason.
LaDainian Tomlinson, RB Jets – I told you all
this was coming last year but people didn’t want to hear it.
I told
you to take LT off your draft board because he would be lucky to run for 700
yards in 2009. Well, he proved me wrong. Tomlinson gained 730 yards and
averaged a whopping 3.3 yards per carry.
I don’t
know how many times I have to tell people that LT’s career died that day he
quit on his team in Foxboro. I was in the Chargers’ locker room after the game.
I talked to the players off the record. I saw the looks on their faces when I
asked them about Tomlinson. I knew that day LT would never be the same player.
I
actually think the Jets downgraded at running back by replacing Thomas Jones with LT. Not only is
Tomlinson done, he is all about himself. When he isn’t telling the world how
classy is or sitting on the sidelines every time he stubs his toe, LT is
complaining about his playing time.
The
Jets made a lot of good moves this offseason to improve their team but getting
LT wasn’t one of them. Shonn Greene
is a stud and he is going to be the main ball carrier for the Jets. There is no
question about it.
Do what
I have been telling you to do for the last two years and pass on Tomlinson come
draft day.
T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR Seahawks – Read above and you
will see that either an old, crippled Matt Hasselbeck or an unproven, talentless
Charlie Whitehurst will be throwing the ball to Houshmandzadeh. That’s not
really a recipe for fantasy success.
Housh
has been one of the NFL’s best possession receivers over the years but I think
he is bordering on becoming irrelevant. Pete Carroll will help fix Seattle’s
defense but their offense is going to be ugly.
About
the time Houshmandzadeh goes off the board in fantasy drafts, there will be a
number of better options at receiver. Pass on Houshmandzadeh and grab yourself
an Antonio Bryant, Mike Wallace,
Austin Collie or Michael Crabtree
instead.
Derrick Mason, WR Ravens – I will never
forgive Mason for dropping that touchdown pass in Week 16 against the Steelers
when he was wide open by 10 yards.
When
that ball bounced off Mason’s facemask, it cost me $700. I lost my fantasy
title game by five points and that catch would have been worth eight. I will
never, ever forgive him for that. I cry every time I see the play.
My
personal hatred for Mason aside, his time is coming to an end. With the
addition of Anquan Boldin, Mason’s
production will drop quite a bit in 2010. He is coming to the end of his career
and Mason is now the No. 2 receiver on a run-oriented offense.
Mason
went over 1,000 yards last season but that’s the last time he will ever
accomplish that feat. Mason offers a little more value in PPR leagues but
overall his best days are behind him.
Take a
pass and go with a receiver with more upside.
I am a
very busy man but if you need some one-on-one fantasy help, I will try to fit
you in. I have one rule: Don’t make your e-mails a book. As a freelance writer,
I spend a large part of my day writing and responding to e-mails. So if you
have a question, ask it. If you want to tell me how much you hate me, do it and
do it quickly. If possible, try and make me laugh. If you can’t tell me that
you hate me in a couple of sentences, may a suggest seeking some professional
help? This is a fantasy football column. If you hate me that much, I’m guessing
you have some deep-rooted issues that need to be addressed.