Over the past decade MMA has slowly built its fan base, dodged criticism and
exploded in popularity, giving the professional sports world no choice
but to recognize these fighters as elite athletes. And just like any
other professional sport or high profile competition - you can bet on
it.While fight fans have been wagering on boxing since two men
strapped on the gloves, MMA is still a new venture to many sports
gamblers. Unlike boxing, most MMA bouts end with knockouts or referee
stoppages and rarely go to the judges’ decision.
“The concept is
the same. Two men compete, one man wins. But in MMA there are many
different ways a guy can win,” says boxing and MMA linesmaker Joey
Oddessa. “If you're going to bet MMA as a newbie, you would be well
advised to study the fighters’ background and fighting discipline.”
Mixed
martial arts are full of diverse fighting styles which lend strengths
and weaknesses to others. Some fighters rely on upright striking
attacks with kicks and punches while others prefer to use submission
holds and take downs, keeping the fight on the mat.
This
weekend’s Ultimate Fighting Championship 71 gives MMA bettors nine
different matches to choose from, most notably Saturday night’s main
event between light heavyweight champion Chuck Liddell and Quinton
“Rampage” Jackson.
The challenger Jackson is a bigger, stronger
fighter that uses his power and wrestling roots to overwhelm his
opponents and slam them to the mat, following with a series of strikes.
However, he has shown weakness against taller, upright fighters who
rely on close combat and knee strikes known as a Muay Thai clinch.
Jackson has six losses during his professional career, with 12 of his
26 victories coming from knockouts.
Liddell,
considered to be the best 205-pounder in the world, is also an upright
fighter that uses punches and kicks in deadly combos to knock out his
opponents. The fighter known as “The Iceman” also has amateur wrestling
beginnings and has studied Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, making him just as
effective on the mat. Liddell’s versatility has given him a 20-3 MMA
record with 12 knockouts.
“In MMA often the elite fighters in
their division only have a dozen or so fights that one can take a look
at when making their decisions on wagering,” says Oddessa. “Boxers
often have 25-30 bouts before they even get on TV. So a guy's training
background is one of many important factors when deciding who to wager
on.”
This high-profile matchup is actually the second time
Liddell and Jackson have met. During a 2003 PRIDE fighting tournament,
Jackson scored a win over "The Iceman" when
the two fighters were classed as middleweights. Jackson punished
Liddell with clubbing blows and eventually forced his opponents’ corner
to throw in the towel. It was the Liddell’s most recent loss and one of
only three defeats during his MMA career.
For this Saturday’s
fight, Oddessa and other oddsmakers have tagged Liddell as a -175
favorite to avenge this loss. But if recent main events are any
indication, bettors have a good chance of cashing in on the +145
Jackson since a series of upsets have recently rocked the foundation of
the UFC.
“In 2006, the favorites were clicking at an extremely
high winning percentage. The Ultimate Fight nights and PPVs were going
7-1, 6-2 to the favorites every time out,” says Oddessa. “The tide
simply turned and luck and better matchmaking in these events has
caused some underdogs to get there.”
This trend started back
in March of this year at UFC 68 when 43-year-old Randy Couture upset
then-champion Tim Sylvia by way of unanimous decision to win his third
heavyweight title. The upsets followed into the organization's next pay
per view event when reality TV product Matt Serra shocked MMA fans with a knockout win over welterweight champion George St. Pierre as a +500 underdog.
Most
recently, highly touted K-1 and PRIDE fighter Mirko Cro Cop was upset
by Gabriel Gonzaga after the underdog landed a vicious kick to head,
sending Cro Cop to the mat in the first round.
Despite the
current string of upsets, Oddessa, who also likes Jackson’s chances on
Saturday night, reminds new bettors of the unpredictable nature of MMA
fights.
“Even though a pattern has emerged, only the casual
player would follow the recent trend of underdogs winning,” says
Oddessa. “It’s a recipe to lose money. No two bouts are the same.”
Saturday night’s UFC 71: Liddell vs. Jackson will be broadcast on PPV starting at 10 p.m. ET. Most online sportsbooks are offering odds on the entire nine-fight card.