
After more than five months off, the first pitch of the new baseball
season is nearly here and bettors are getting ready. Preparation for
the baseball season is already taking place by looking at injuries,
depth charts, player transactions, statistics and many other sources to
get ready for another long but enjoyable year. Early on in the season
could be the most important since this is where betting momentum is
either built or never established and that can take its toll throughout
the summer months. Hitting your stride early is huge.
Do Not Bet Many Games Early On
With 2,430 games being played during the season, there are plenty of
betting opportunities that are going to occur so there is no reason to
let it all out early in the year. A lot of veteran baseball bettors
don’t even play during the first few weeks of the season as they’d
rather get a feel for the players and teams rather than throw money at
a coin flip. However, there are opportunities early on that can be
taken advantage of but there is no reason to be playing four games
every night, or even one game every night for that matter.
Stick With the Underdogs
The best part about being a low-market team baseball fan is the fact
that this time of year, that team is in the hunt. As time goes on,
those teams start dropping off but for the most part of the beginning
of the season, these teams are playing with a lot of energy and
enthusiasm. Moneylines are mostly based on last season’s performances
and plenty of value can be had on the teams that are not getting any
respect early on. There are plenty of bad numbers out there in April
and a lot of those can be taken advantage of.
Don’t Get Caught Up in the Hype
You are going to hear a lot of stories coming from Florida and Arizona
on how a certain young pitcher has dominated and made the big league
rotation. Spring training can be good for evaluation but once these
kids face quality hitting every time out, things can change. Avoid
rookie starters early in the season until they get adjusted to their
new surroundings. If the prices are good, fading them can be the way to
go. Bad starts can cause a domino effect on these youngsters that are
non-recoverable.
Watch the Weather
Coming from a hot climate to cold and wet surroundings is a big
transition for most big league players. Pitchers are most affected by
this but hitters can be affected just as much. Keeping an eye on the
weather during the first month is extremely important. Finesse pitchers
are hurt more by cold and wet weather while power pitchers are able to
have more success in those conditions. Hitters do not like those
conditions at all so power pitchers in bad weather environments can
lead to some good ‘under’ wins.
Play the Streaks
One rule in baseball that applies everyday is to never bet against a
team during a winning streak and never bet on a team during a losing
streak. This should not be strayed from during the first month. Teams
are very streaky in April and trying to figure out when those streaks
will end can be a disastrous way to get the season going. If you plan
on betting on a team during the first month of the season, make sure it
won its last game. Conversely, bet against a team only if it lost its
last game.