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Buffalo squeaks out game 4 in Ottawa
Buffalo squeaks out game 4 in Ottawa
By Rob Aquino | Published  05/18/2007 | Fantasy Hockey Grumblings - 2007-08 Season
Rob Aquino
Rob became an NHL and Buffalo Sabres fan at an early age – attending his first game in the 1975 finals (fog game, Rene Robert OT winner) – and it has been downhill virtually ever since. He pines for “The Aud” and a return to the blue and gold uniforms. Rob brings a wide knowledge of the NHL and their sordid history to his blurb column, as well as an unhealthy obsession for junior hockey; and in fact may he be the only American who ran his own OHL (Ontario Hockey League) fantasy league. Beyond his Grumblings here, Rob's work can also be found on his blog, Road Apples.  

View all articles by Rob Aquino
Sabres look to put the pressure back on Senators

 
Derek Roy scored the stunning first goal of the night nine seconds after the opening drop

…And just when Buffalo Sabres fans think they're out....they get pulled right back in again.

After a 3-2 victory in a game that most pundits would have expected the Sabres to fully roll over and die after their pitiful game 3 performance, it was Derek Roy getting the stunning first goal of the night nine seconds after the opening drop. The Sabres never trailed, although things certainly changed after they took a 3-0 lead midway through the second period and it looked like they were ready to romp.

Buffalo suddenly and inexplicably fell into their early-series defensive funk by carelessly turning the puck over in their own zone, leading to two quick Ottawa goals which brought the home crowd to life and seemed to suck the tenuous confidence out of the Sabres.

This was another game where the details went far beyond the final score. Buffalo started to show some legs in the first half of the game - they weren't perfect, but they were orders of magnitude better than they'd been over the previous six periods. What should concern Buffalo, however, is their quick lapse back into the giveaway game followed by uncharacteristically conservative play (at least in terms of their regular season play). Turnovers are an accepted part of Buffalo's game, and have been for two seasons now, but when every game is now magnified (with everything at stake) and they are playing an opponent who is on top of their game, it becomes far more dangerous.

Lindy Ruff clearly recognized how he was going to deal with any tenuous play early on when he decided to shoot his entire "4 rolling lines" game plan to hell – look at the official shift chart for game 4 and the late-game gaps are telling. Dmitri Kalinin had five shifts in the first period and saw the ice once again - with nine minutes were gone in the third. I think many Sabres' fans will be okay with that decision (4:23 total ice time) but how will that play out in game five (or beyond)?  Is this a one-time thing or has Ruff's faith in Kalinin been completely shattered?  If so, he'd be better off not dressing Kalinin and calling up Nathan Paetsch. Skating five (or less...see Spacek below...) defencemen in a playoff game isn't advisable for the team's long-term health - especially if they cannot lose another game.

Some other decisions by Ruff were also questionable:

1)
Lack of faith in Jaroslav Spacek. Many Sabres’ fans are on Spacek for his lack of points (ZERO) this postseason, but a major reason for that is his limited ice-time. Spacek only got 8:22 last night with 22 seconds combined on special-teams. He played three shifts total after Ottawa's second goal of the night, essentially giving the Sabres four defencemen for the second half of the game - a likely reason for them being pinned in their own zone much of the third. Long term - I would look for this to be an offseason where Buffalo quietly tries to deal Spacek - Ruff's pattern of usage of him over the past few games is telling - this isn't the first time Spacek has seen pine in critical situations.

2)
Too much faith in Brian Campbell. Campbell is an exciting player who, when carrying the puck, can make one think of the better offensive defencemen of the past 20 years. Unfortunately when he doesn't commit to a two-way game he can be a defensive liability. Campbell accounted for four of Buffalo's 10 official turnovers Wednesday night yet led all Sabres in ice-time by far with just under 30 minutes. I'm not sure what Ruff is trying to emphasize here - if he wants reliability, Campbell might not be your best bet. Is he that much more defensively responsible than Spacek? No chance. There must be an equalization of ice-time or every third period will be completely slanted towards Ryan Miller for the duration of this postseason.

Speaking of Miller – he was fantastic on Wednesday and once again the best player on the ice.  Miller has been the better of the two goalies in this series, despite the 3-1 Ottawa advantage.  Ray Emery - on the rare occasions he's been tested - has looked shaky (although he deserves credit for a handful of spectacular saves - it's the easy ones he often struggles with) and has a tendency to give up big rebounds. Chris Drury's goal in particular was soft and it turned out to be the difference in the game.

Other Buffalo personnel notes: Dainus Zubrus played four minutes and never returned after the three minute mark of the second – he is out for game 5 with the always-descriptive “lower body injury" - possible replacements include Dan Paille, Drew Stafford, or  Nathan Paetsch. Ales Kotalik was used sparingly as was Max Afinogenov, although Max put in another solid effort. The most sad/frustrating part from a Sabres' fan point-of-view is the lackadaisical play of Thomas Vanek. He has begun to play like he did last postseason - poor awareness behind the opposing blue-line and at this point the team would lose nothing by having him take a view from the Ted Darling Memorial Press Box Saturday afternoon.

Game 4 showed again how fragile momentum in hockey is, or a lead within a game or series. Pick any critical moment in the previous three games - e.g. game 2:  if Toni Lydman's crossbar shot goes in, the series is now tied going back to Buffalo. This is something the Sabres have to hold onto - they're still alive and have a chance. Something simple to remember in all the talk that will come of possibly coming back from an 0-3 deficit...it's not 0-3 anymore. "One game at a time" will continue to be the Sabres' mantra, and although the HSBC arena will be deafening on Saturday, the pressure will still be squarely on the Buffalo Sabres. That will most definitely change in the event of a Buffalo win...

A bit of relevant history: In the 1980 semifinals the Wales Trophy champion Buffalo Sabres faced the New
York Islanders. The Sabres were favoured as conference champions and having finished 19 points ahead of the Isles. After a long nine-day layoff the Sabres began their series with New York and quickly found themselves down 0-3 but won the next two. They took a lead in game 6 before eventually collapsing and losing 5-2.

Now it's back to
Buffalo for a Saturday afternoon matinee. Two days off for the teams to regroup, perhaps heal up, and also consider possible lineup changes.

If nothing else....we may now have a series.



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