What is the fascination with drafting an offensive lineman in
the top-ten? Each year you hear about a top-flight offensive lineman that’s
projected as a “can’t miss” prospect, but after the late April spectacle known
as the NFL Draft, his name fades into obscurity.
This year’s top offensive lineman is Wisconsin’s Joe Thomas.
Thomas is considered to be a franchise caliber bookend who will dominate
defenders for the next 10 – 15 years. But as long as I’ve been covering the
draft, the same thing is mentioned every year about the best offensive lineman
on the board.
Is Thomas going to be a dominate offensive lineman at the
next level? I don’t see it.
Looking back at this decade’s drafts, the previous six drafts,
in five out of the six an offensive lineman was taken in the top-ten. The one
year an offensive lineman wasn’t taken in the top-ten was in 2005, when the New
Orleans Saints took Oklahoma’s Jammal Brown (13th overall). Brown was named an
All-Pro this past season.
The players that were taken in the top-ten since the 2000 draft
are as follows: Chris Samuels (3rd overall in 2000), Leonard Davis (2nd overall
in 2001), Mike Williams (4th overall in 2002;
Note: Bryant
McKinnie was also a top-ten pick, 7th overall), Jordan Gross (8th overall in
2003), Robert Gallery (2nd overall in 2004), and D’Brickashaw Ferguson (4th
overall in 2006).
It’s too early to predict what Ferguson will amount to with the
New York Jets, but I think it’s safe to say that the only offensive lineman
that’s lived up to his potential is Samuels. With the Redskins, Samuels has
appeared in multiple Pro Bowls and is widely considered to be one of the top
tackles in the National Football League.
The two former Texas Longhorns, Davis and Williams, have been
busts and have not adapted to the NFL. Davis is currently a free agent who is
destined to leave the Arizona Cardinals, while Williams is becoming a journeyman
early in his career.
Jordan Gross and Robert Gallery are in similar situations thus
far. Both have had difficulty grasping the NFL game and struggle against
physical, speedy defensive ends. Gallery was hampered by injuries last season,
but was a mainstay on the Oakland offensive line the previous two seasons.
Gross, who hasn’t missed a game in his four-year NFL career, has been shuffled
around on the Panthers offensive line and hasn’t been able to get comfortable.
Both players are viewed as being disappointments and need to
step up their games to qualify themselves as worthy high draft picks.
Getting back to this year’s draft, the offensive tackle
position is a bit thin this year and Thomas is the best of all tackles
available. Penn State’s Levi Brown is another highly regarded tackle, and in my
opinion, I believe he will become a better player than Thomas.
Drafting Thomas in the top-five is a mistake for any of the
teams
selecting in that vicinity. One reason why I believe tackles that are
drafted high are not successful is because the team that drafts them isn’t that
good. It’s expected that a team drafting first or second overall is going to be
in a rebuilding situation, and the team believes that drafting a highly regarded
lineman will restructure their offensive line. It just doesn’t work that
way.
To have a dominate offensive line, you must have a philosophy.
It’s great to get a “blue chip” lineman, but if you surround him with “B”
talent, that “blue chip” prospect becomes mediocre. All the rumors I’ve been
hearing have the Detroit Lions selecting Thomas with the second pick. If that
happens, it will be the biggest mistake the Lions organization… well they’re
known for mistakes in the first round.
I am sure Lions fans remember; you may want to close your eyes
right now, Bryant Westbrook (5th overall in 1997), Terry Fair (20th overall in
1998), Chris Claiborne (9th overall in 1999), Aaron Gibson (27th overall in
1999), Stockar McDougle (20th overall in 2000), Joey Harrington (3rd overall in
2002), Charles Rogers (2nd overall in 2003), and Mike Williams (10th overall in
2005).
But after seeing the Lions miss more than hit in the first round
this past decade, I am pretty sure Detroit will make another mistake.
Drafting a franchise quarterback is the right move for the
Lions. Either JaMarcus Russell or Brady Quinn are better options than drafting
Thomas. A team that needs a player like Thomas is the Arizona Cardinals. The
Cardinals have their franchise quarterback, a star running back, and two All-Pro
wide receivers. The only thing missing from Arizona’s offense is a potential
“standout” tackle to protect Matt Leinart.
So on a sunny, late April afternoon in New York and another
cloudy draft day for the Lions, Commissioner Roger Goodell will make his way to
the podium at Radio City Music Hall with a smirk and announce:
“With the second pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions
[make another mistake] select Joe Thomas; tackle from the University of
Wisconsin.”
… It was only a dream Detroit, here’s your answer. In the first
round select Notre Dame quarterback Quinn. Begin the process of developing a
young, franchise quarterback behind a capable veteran that’s already on board in
Jon Kitna.
In the second round (34th overall), there will be some nice
options to choose from as far as offensive tackles are concerned. Aaron Sears
(Tennessee), Tony Ugoh (Arkansas), Joe Staley (Central Michigan), Ryan Harris
(Notre Dame), and Doug Free (Northern Illinois) will all be available, it’s just
up to Lions’ GM Matt Millen and the front office to decide which one fits their
offense the best.
The highly touted offensive guard from Auburn, Ben Grubbs, may
also be available with the Lions second round pick. The key for any team needing
help on the offensive line is to be patient. Every year teams that wait for
offensive line talent are rewarded with excellent prospects that eventually
emerge as top-tier players.
Patience is a virtue.